Szymon Brud vs Dominik Solilo 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Szymon Brud

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

11612107111820911

Dominik Solilo

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Szymon Brud to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingSzymon Brud above · Dominik Solilo below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 18-20

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 115 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Szymon Brud at 54.0%

115 points played in total.

H2H Szymon Brud 1–3 Dominik Solilo Szymon Brud has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 1–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brud

Brud 1.80/Solilo 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Brud · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Solilo won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:57

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Brud

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-3 in 4

Solilo

Correct

gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Brud 1484 vs Solilo 1434

Brud

Wrong

both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Brud 40% vs Solilo 20%

Brud

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Brud 30% vs Solilo 30%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Brud +1 · Solilo +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Brud) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Solilo: form 20%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBrud 1.80 / Solilo 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Brud)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeBrud1wins

AwaySolilo3wins

Solilo leads 3–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Brud2Solilo2n = 4split evenly

S2Brud1Solilo3n = 4Solilo took 3 of 4

S3Brud1Solilo3n = 4Solilo took 3 of 4

S4Brud1Solilo2n = 3Solilo took 2 of 3

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away250%

0–3Straight, away125%

These 4 meetings

MetricBrudSoliloB − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match30.537.2−6.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrudSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime593 / 1128 vs 301 / 61852.6%48.7%593 / 1128 vs 301 / 618Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13284220

Brud1.80

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite62% won 146 of 234

Up 2–0, closes it91% 59 of 65

Up 1–0, closes it76% 93 of 122

Solilo1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 75 of 198

Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 127

Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69

Szymon Brud vs Dominik Solilo 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Szymon Brud vs Dominik Solilo 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.