TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Konrad Staszczyk vs Szymon Brud 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11911131614115––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:25 and never touched: 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Szymon Brud below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 90 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 69.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 5–4 Szymon Brud Szymon Brud has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:2569.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
clears by 2.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1790 vs Brud 1491
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 298 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 100% vs Brud 40%
Staszczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 100% vs Brud 40%
Staszczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +11 · Brud -1
Staszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Clear lean (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.50 / Brud 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13259866
Staszczyk1.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 11
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 228 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it91% 103 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it85% 168 of 197
Brud2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 46 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStaszczyk5wins
AwayBrud4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczyk75%3 of 4
AwayBrud60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk4Brud5n = 9Brud took 5 of 9
S2Staszczyk5Brud4n = 9Staszczyk took 5 of 9
S3Staszczyk4Brud5n = 9Brud took 5 of 9
S4Staszczyk3Brud2n = 5Staszczyk took 3 of 5
S5Staszczyk2Brud1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricStaszczykBrudS − BBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match35.735.3+0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 446 vs 592 / 112560.3%52.6%269 / 446 vs 592 / 1125Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.50/Brud 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 7 · 17:20K. Staszczyk549111211113S. Brud4411914192
WOct 2 · 22:05K. Staszczyk4012611113S. Brud311011551
WOct 2 · 16:05K. Staszczyk331111113S. Brud166550
WJul 12 · 20:05K. Staszczyk361211133S. Brud28107110
LJul 11 · 19:40K. Staszczyk2371060S. Brud341112113
LJun 14 · 09:00K. Staszczyk4211651192S. Brud44611115113
LJun 13 · 10:05K. Staszczyk28511751S. Brud4211911113
WApr 28 · 18:55K. Staszczyk494111310113S. Brud46114111282
LApr 27 · 20:30K. Staszczyk167450S. Brud331111113
K. Staszczyk10
WOct 8 · 21:50A. Mugowski4.506790K. Staszczyk1.171111113WOct 7 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.171311113A. Myszewski4.5011560WOct 7 · 18:30K. Staszczyk1.5313114113P. Perzynski2.381161181WOct 7 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.409111211113S. Brud2.7511914192WOct 7 · 16:05K. Rudomina2.639870K. Staszczyk1.441111113WOct 7 · 15:25K. Staszczyk1.4011118113P. Blocho2.75641161WOct 7 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.639540WOct 6 · 23:45P. Blocho2.632116101K. Staszczyk1.4411511123WOct 6 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.331111113A. Linek3.256760WOct 6 · 21:50A. Gromek3.25111111052K. Staszczyk1.33871112113
S. Brud10
LOct 8 · 23:20A. Mugowski2.251112113S. Brud1.5781060LOct 8 · 22:10S. Brud1.446960R. Stapor2.631111113WOct 8 · 21:00P. Perzynski1.67109111192S. Brud2.10121156113WOct 8 · 20:30S. Brud1.4061111113A. Mugowski2.75118481LOct 8 · 18:50S. Brud1.83101181192B. Czerwinski1.83129119113LOct 8 · 17:40S. Brud1.611571071M. Minda2.20131112113LOct 8 · 16:05S. Brud1.571012891B. Sulkowski2.25121011113LOct 8 · 15:00S. Brud2.00971171P. Perzynski1.7311114113WOct 8 · 00:10P. Blocho2.001191281S. Brud1.7361114113LOct 7 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.409111211113S. Brud2.7511914192
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk
Oct 9 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.30R. Stapor3.40—Oct 9 · 16:05K. Staszczyk—M. Kolek——Oct 9 · 17:20K. Staszczyk—J. Wozniak——Oct 9 · 18:50K. Staszczyk—M. Marchlewski——Oct 9 · 20:05K. Staszczyk—T. Filbrandt——Oct 9 · 21:45K. Staszczyk—K. Rudomina——Oct 9 · 22:05K. Staszczyk—M. Kolek——Oct 9 · 23:15K. Staszczyk—M. Marchlewski——Oct 9 · 23:35K. Staszczyk—J. Wozniak——Oct 10 · 00:20K. Staszczyk—K. Rudomina——
S. Brud
Nothing scheduled
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