TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Gromek vs Konrad Staszczyk 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181171111012511
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:31 and never touched: 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Gromek above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 70.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Artur Gromek 0–2 Konrad Staszczyk Artur Gromek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:3170.9%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
short by 4.1pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gromek 1537 vs Staszczyk 1739
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 202 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gromek 60% vs Staszczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gromek 60% vs Staszczyk 80%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gromek +1 · Staszczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGromek 3.25 / Staszczyk 1.333
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Staszczyk)-4.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13249709
Gromek3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog25% won 23 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Staszczyk1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite67% won 219 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it91% 97 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it85% 161 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGromek0wins
AwayStaszczyk2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGromekStaszczykG − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.550.5−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGromekStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 173 vs 260 / 43735.8%59.5%62 / 173 vs 260 / 437Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykGromek 3.25/Staszczyk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 6 · 21:50A. Gromek38111111052K. Staszczyk49871112113
LOct 6 · 00:35A. Gromek47471111142K. Staszczyk52111168163
A. Gromek10
WOct 6 · 21:25A. Gromek2.2513118143L. Pietraszko1.5711811121LOct 6 · 20:30A. Linek2.10111017113A. Gromek1.679121591WOct 6 · 19:15A. Gromek1.8311119113P. Blocho1.83681131WOct 6 · 18:05D. Kosmal1.613111110102A. Gromek2.20118612123LOct 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.5381111143A. Gromek2.381178121WOct 6 · 15:25M. Minda2.105790A. Gromek1.671111113LOct 6 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.30111168163A. Gromek3.40471111142WOct 5 · 22:55J. Glanowski2.10111137102A. Gromek1.67861111123WOct 5 · 22:10M. Trela2.638640A. Gromek1.441111113LOct 5 · 21:25A. Linek2.25811116113A. Gromek1.5711781182
K. Staszczyk10
WOct 6 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.331111113A. Linek3.256760WOct 6 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.30111168163A. Gromek3.40471111142LOct 5 · 23:45J. Glanowski3.75541511113K. Staszczyk1.25111113942WOct 5 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.2011911143M. Trela4.336114121LOct 5 · 21:50A. Linek3.25881111113K. Staszczyk1.3311119892WOct 3 · 00:20G. Kesik2.75413471K. Staszczyk1.40111111113WOct 2 · 23:35M. Kukawka2.3861270K. Staszczyk1.531114113WOct 2 · 23:15K. Staszczyk1.3011711113M. Makajew3.40411671WOct 2 · 22:05S. Brud2.751011551K. Staszczyk1.4012611113WOct 2 · 21:45K. Staszczyk1.3311811113G. Kesik3.25511881
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