TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Przemyslaw Blocho vs Konrad Staszczyk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111156111012––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:41 and never touched: 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPrzemyslaw Blocho above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 68 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 67.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Przemyslaw Blocho 1–2 Konrad Staszczyk Przemyslaw Blocho has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:4167.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.0pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blocho 1558 vs Staszczyk 1746
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 188 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blocho 80% vs Staszczyk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blocho 70% vs Staszczyk 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blocho +3 · Staszczyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlocho 2.625 / Staszczyk 1.444
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Staszczyk)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13251626
Blocho2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Staszczyk1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 219 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it91% 97 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it85% 161 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBlocho1wins
AwayStaszczyk2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blocho2Staszczyk1n = 3Blocho took 2 of 3
S2Blocho1Staszczyk2n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S3Blocho1Staszczyk2n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S4Blocho1Staszczyk2n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBlochoStaszczykB − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.045.3−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlochoStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime585 / 1065 vs 261 / 43854.9%59.6%585 / 1065 vs 261 / 438Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykBlocho 2.63/Staszczyk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 1 · 00:35P. Blocho3911314652K. Staszczyk549111211113
LSep 30 · 18:30P. Blocho3711115101K. Staszczyk4371311123
WSep 18 · 22:05P. Blocho50811812113K. Staszczyk39117111002
P. Blocho10
LOct 7 · 00:10A. Gromek1.40411412113P. Blocho2.75119111092WOct 6 · 22:55P. Blocho2.501117113L. Pietraszko1.5091580WOct 6 · 21:00P. Blocho1.7312118113A. Linek2.001071191WOct 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.50111191142P. Blocho2.50861113113LOct 6 · 19:15A. Gromek1.8311119113P. Blocho1.83681131WOct 6 · 17:20M. Minda1.80101200P. Blocho1.911214113LOct 6 · 16:30D. Kosmal1.4411711113P. Blocho2.63911741WOct 6 · 15:00A. Linek2.109490P. Blocho1.671111113LOct 1 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.369111211113P. Blocho3.0011314652WSep 30 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.207780P. Blocho1.611111113
K. Staszczyk10
WOct 7 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.639540WOct 6 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.331111113A. Linek3.256760WOct 6 · 21:50A. Gromek3.25111111052K. Staszczyk1.33871112113WOct 6 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.30111168163A. Gromek3.40471111142LOct 5 · 23:45J. Glanowski3.75541511113K. Staszczyk1.25111113942WOct 5 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.2011911143M. Trela4.336114121LOct 5 · 21:50A. Linek3.25881111113K. Staszczyk1.3311119892WOct 3 · 00:20G. Kesik2.75413471K. Staszczyk1.40111111113WOct 2 · 23:35M. Kukawka2.3861270K. Staszczyk1.531114113WOct 1 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.369111211113P. Blocho3.0011314652
Upcoming Matches
P. Blocho
Oct 7 · 15:25P. Blocho—K. Staszczyk——Oct 7 · 16:55P. Blocho—P. Perzynski——Oct 7 · 18:05P. Blocho—A. Myszewski——Oct 7 · 19:15P. Blocho—S. Brud——Oct 7 · 20:30P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Oct 7 · 21:25P. Blocho—P. Perzynski——Oct 7 · 21:50P. Blocho—A. Mugowski——Oct 7 · 23:20P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Oct 8 · 00:10P. Blocho—S. Brud——
K. Staszczyk
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