TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Pietraszko vs Przemyslaw Blocho 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181169111113411
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched: 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Przemyslaw Blocho below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 95 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 66.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 17–7 Przemyslaw Blocho Przemyslaw Blocho has won 7 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5266.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
clears by 0.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pietraszko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-7 in 24
Pietraszko
Wrong
gap of 10 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1692 vs Blocho 1512
Pietraszko
Wrong
both rated, 180 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 80% vs Blocho 40%
Pietraszko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 70% vs Blocho 50%
Pietraszko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko +3 · Blocho -1
Pietraszko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Pietraszko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 1.50 / Blocho 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Pietraszko)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13253472
Pietraszko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 125 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it83% 83 of 100
Blocho2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePietraszko8wins
AwayBlocho2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPietraszko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko87.5%7 of 8
AwayBlochon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko8Blocho2n = 10Pietraszko took 8 of 10
S2Pietraszko9Blocho1n = 10Pietraszko took 9 of 10
S3Pietraszko6Blocho4n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S4Pietraszko1Blocho4n = 5Blocho took 4 of 5
S5Pietraszko3Blocho1n = 4Pietraszko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPietraszkoBlochoP − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.7+4.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoBlochoBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 874 vs 582 / 106251.6%54.8%451 / 874 vs 582 / 1062Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoPietraszko 1.50/Blocho 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Blocho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 23:20L. Pietraszko31118661P. Blocho4071111113
WSep 29 · 20:30L. Pietraszko51716611113P. Blocho48111411662
WSep 22 · 18:50L. Pietraszko54111199143P. Blocho44551111122
WSep 20 · 22:35L. Pietraszko331111113P. Blocho247980
WSep 20 · 18:50L. Pietraszko511111710123P. Blocho50891112102
WAug 25 · 11:50L. Pietraszko331111113P. Blocho205870
WAug 25 · 06:00L. Pietraszko361114113P. Blocho2881280
LAug 24 · 11:00L. Pietraszko3881111352P. Blocho48116911113
WAug 24 · 04:50L. Pietraszko331111113P. Blocho238780
WJun 8 · 17:45L. Pietraszko331111113P. Blocho229670
L. Pietraszko10
LOct 6 · 21:25A. Gromek2.2513118143L. Pietraszko1.5711811121WOct 6 · 18:30M. Minda2.1010780L. Pietraszko1.671211113WOct 6 · 17:40A. Linek2.2010270L. Pietraszko1.611211113WOct 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.5381111143A. Gromek2.381178121LOct 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.0011119111D. Kosmal1.7371311133WOct 4 · 23:20S. Brud1.911212101192L. Pietraszko1.801014123113WOct 4 · 22:35M. Kukawka2.384290L. Pietraszko1.531111113WOct 4 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.611211113J. Nadolny2.2010380LOct 4 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.201711113L. Pietraszko1.6115770WOct 4 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.447181114123S. Brud2.631116516102
P. Blocho10
WOct 6 · 21:00P. Blocho1.7312118113A. Linek2.001071191LOct 6 · 19:15A. Gromek1.8311119113P. Blocho1.83681131WOct 6 · 17:20M. Minda1.80101200P. Blocho1.911214113LOct 6 · 16:30D. Kosmal1.4411711113P. Blocho2.63911741WOct 6 · 15:00A. Linek2.109490P. Blocho1.671111113LOct 1 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.369111211113P. Blocho3.0011314652WSep 30 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.207780P. Blocho1.611111113WSep 30 · 22:10K. Rudomina1.83911171P. Blocho1.8311911113WSep 30 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53911721P. Blocho2.3811811113LSep 30 · 20:05P. Blocho1.6781111572B. Sulkowski2.10112911113
Upcoming Matches
L. Pietraszko
P. Blocho
Oct 6 · 22:55P. Blocho2.50L. Pietraszko1.50—Oct 6 · 23:45P. Blocho2.63K. Staszczyk1.44—Oct 7 · 00:10P. Blocho1.83A. Gromek1.83—Oct 7 · 15:25P. Blocho—K. Staszczyk——Oct 7 · 16:55P. Blocho—P. Perzynski——Oct 7 · 18:05P. Blocho—A. Myszewski——Oct 7 · 19:15P. Blocho—S. Brud——Oct 7 · 20:30P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Oct 7 · 21:25P. Blocho—P. Perzynski——Oct 7 · 21:50P. Blocho—A. Mugowski——
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