TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Stapor vs Dominik Solilo 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111311117––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
13111311117––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 10–10 Dominik Solilo Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:4854.0%Our read56.8%to break even at 1.76
short by 2.8pp56.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.76 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Solilo
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1479 vs Solilo 1476
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Solilo 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 60% vs Solilo 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Solilo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Solilo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.96 / Solilo 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solilo)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13281708
Stapor1.96
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 119 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back17% 33 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 113
Solilo1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 181 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it92% 93 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it79% 134 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwaySolilo5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor66.7%2 of 3
AwaySolilo57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S2Stapor4Solilo6n = 10Solilo took 6 of 10
S3Stapor5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor5Solilo3n = 8Stapor took 5 of 8
S5Stapor2Solilo1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporSoliloStapor − SoliloBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.138.8−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime738 / 1313 vs 300 / 61356.2%48.9%738 / 1313 vs 300 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloStapor 1.96/Solilo 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 13:05R. Stapor4261271162D. Solilo461110113113
WOct 6 · 11:50R. Stapor3961111113D. Solilo29116661
LSep 20 · 05:15R. Stapor175750D. Solilo331111113
LSep 9 · 04:25R. Stapor2671090D. Solilo341112113
LAug 21 · 14:40R. Stapor30129541D. Solilo43101111113
WAug 20 · 10:10R. Stapor4513911123D. Solilo4111119101
LAug 13 · 14:40R. Stapor349121031D. Solilo44111012113
WAug 12 · 09:50R. Stapor49881111113D. Solilo4011112882
WAug 12 · 08:30R. Stapor4211911113D. Solilo33911761
WAug 7 · 06:00R. Stapor47511117133D. Solilo45117511112
R. Stapor10
LOct 11 · 21:30R. Stapor1.851161071K. Rudomina1.8541112113WOct 11 · 20:30R. Stapor2.561111113M. Kolek1.469870LOct 11 · 18:55R. Stapor1.9110580M. Kukawka1.801211113WOct 11 · 17:45R. Stapor1.8411911133K. Rudomina1.888119111LOct 11 · 16:15R. Stapor3.30471161J. Zochniak1.2911117113LOct 11 · 15:00R. Stapor1.361111111182M. Trela2.85139137113WOct 9 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.307990R. Stapor3.401111113LOct 8 · 22:55P. Perzynski1.4411711113R. Stapor2.63611771WOct 8 · 22:10S. Brud1.446960R. Stapor2.631111113WOct 8 · 21:25A. Mugowski2.204116101R. Stapor1.6111711123
D. Solilo10
LOct 11 · 22:35D. Solilo2.40641111132M. Kolek1.50111196153WOct 11 · 14:15D. Solilo1.8512211113M. Minda1.851011771LOct 11 · 12:35K. Kostyk1.9011118113D. Solilo1.80961181WOct 11 · 11:45T. Piotrowski2.5088111162D. Solilo1.45111144113LOct 11 · 10:55D. Solilo1.60116541M. Kukawka2.1041111113LOct 11 · 09:45D. Solilo1.801011191062J. Lamperski1.851261712113WOct 11 · 00:35K. Klocek1.9511116192D. Solilo1.75771111113WOct 10 · 22:55D. Kotwica3.25781191D. Solilo1.2711114113LOct 10 · 22:15M. Marchlewski1.601112113D. Solilo2.2041070WOct 10 · 21:30D. Poloszczanski3.20871171D. Solilo1.3011117113
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
D. Solilo
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