TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Felkel vs Jakub Kosowski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511117911611
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:48 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 56.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 52–77 Jakub Kosowski Grzegorz Felkel has won 52 of their 129 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-77 in 129
Kosowski
Correct
gap of 25 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1998 vs Kosowski 1922
Felkel
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 100% vs Kosowski 40%
Felkel
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 90% vs Kosowski 50%
Felkel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel +6 · Kosowski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 2.25 / Kosowski 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Kosowski)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13206586
Felkel2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 32 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Kosowski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 281 of 423
Up 2–0, closes it95% 130 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 219 of 256
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel5wins
AwayKosowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel66.7%4 of 6
AwayKosowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel6Kosowski4n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Felkel7Kosowski3n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S3Felkel6Kosowski4n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S4Felkel2Kosowski6n = 8Kosowski took 6 of 8
S5Felkel2Kosowski3n = 5Kosowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelKosowskiF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.8+0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime679 / 1146 vs 724 / 123359.3%58.7%679 / 1146 vs 724 / 1233Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiFelkel 2.25/Kosowski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 03:25G. Felkel341211113J. Kosowski2210930
WSep 22 · 10:00G. Felkel48117118113J. Kosowski3941161172
LSep 22 · 08:05G. Felkel33811861J. Kosowski4011711113
WSep 17 · 13:20G. Felkel43101111113J. Kosowski34129761
WSep 17 · 05:15G. Felkel391612113J. Kosowski33141090
LAug 19 · 09:20G. Felkel331113811J. Kosowski4471511113
LAug 19 · 04:10G. Felkel4211118842J. Kosowski49791111113
LJul 13 · 12:30G. Felkel4251181262J. Kosowski501171110113
WJul 13 · 08:30G. Felkel52119129113J. Kosowski44811101142
LJul 8 · 12:30G. Felkel4871114792J. Kosowski531181211113
G. Felkel10
WSep 28 · 11:40P. Chodorski2.2511611642G. Felkel1.57711611113WSep 28 · 09:40G. Felkel1.8311148133M. Jadczyk1.8361211111WSep 28 · 08:30K. Petas1.611111871G. Felkel2.2013611113WSep 28 · 07:20G. Felkel1.831111113T. Spanik1.835370WSep 28 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.91112571G. Felkel1.8021111113WSep 28 · 04:55P. Chodorski2.25111111792G. Felkel1.57971311113WSep 28 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.6710930G. Felkel2.101211113LSep 22 · 13:45G. Felkel1.91117871A. Wiecek1.8091111113WSep 22 · 12:30G. Felkel1.531111113K. Kolodziej2.389990WSep 22 · 11:15G. Felkel1.361114113J. Braun3.0091260
J. Kosowski10
LSep 28 · 12:05M. Jadczyk2.256111110113J. Kosowski1.5711991292LSep 28 · 09:20K. Petas2.0011912113J. Kosowski1.735111091LSep 28 · 07:45J. Kosowski2.001011841M. Jadczyk1.7012711113LSep 28 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.671156111P. Chodorski2.1081111133WSep 28 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.571112113T. Spanik2.2591040WSep 28 · 04:10K. Petas2.25991181J. Kosowski1.5711116113LSep 28 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.6710930G. Felkel2.101211113WSep 23 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.307111110113K. Strowski3.4011371262LSep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.836101151J. Zandecki1.8311123113WSep 23 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3331111113K. Kolodziej3.25117661
Upcoming Matches
G. Felkel
Sep 28 · 14:10G. Felkel1.83T. Spanik1.83—Sep 29 · 03:00G. Felkel1.53J. Zandecki2.38—Sep 29 · 04:10G. Felkel1.67P. Chodorski2.10—Sep 29 · 05:40G. Felkel2.63P. David1.44—Sep 29 · 06:55G. Felkel1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 29 · 08:30G. Felkel2.25J. Kosowski1.57—Sep 29 · 09:20G. Felkel2.63P. David1.44—Sep 29 · 10:00G. Felkel1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 29 · 11:15G. Felkel1.53J. Zandecki2.38—Sep 29 · 12:30G. Felkel1.67P. Chodorski2.10—
J. Kosowski
Sep 28 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 28 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.53P. Chodorski2.38—Sep 29 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.53P. Chodorski2.38—Sep 29 · 04:55J. Kosowski1.80P. David1.91—Sep 29 · 06:05J. Kosowski2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 29 · 07:20J. Kosowski1.67J. Zandecki2.10—Sep 29 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.57G. Felkel2.25—Sep 29 · 09:40J. Kosowski1.53P. Chodorski2.38—Sep 29 · 10:25J. Kosowski1.67J. Zandecki2.10—Sep 29 · 12:05J. Kosowski1.80P. David1.91—
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