TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Adamiak vs Maksymilian Miastowski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121010128111151113
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMaksymilian Miastowski to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Maksymilian Miastowski below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 103 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Maksymilian Miastowski at 58.1%
103 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 7–10 Maksymilian Miastowski Grzegorz Adamiak has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Miastowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Miastowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1757 vs Miastowski 1811
Miastowski
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 20% vs Miastowski 60%
Miastowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 30% vs Miastowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -1 · Miastowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Miastowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 2.20 / Miastowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Miastowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13201522
Adamiak2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog29% won 67 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Miastowski1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 108 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak4wins
AwayMiastowski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMiastowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak66.7%2 of 3
AwayMiastowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak3Miastowski7n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S2Adamiak4Miastowski6n = 10Miastowski took 6 of 10
S3Adamiak2Miastowski8n = 10Miastowski took 8 of 10
S4Adamiak3Miastowski2n = 5Adamiak took 3 of 5
S5Adamiak3Miastowski1n = 4Adamiak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakMiastowskiA − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.037.3−3.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakMiastowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 753 vs 575 / 111543.2%51.6%325 / 753 vs 575 / 1115Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiAdamiak 2.20/Miastowski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Miastowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 04:55G. Adamiak2384110M. Miastowski351111133
WSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak46711512113M. Miastowski45119111042
WSep 26 · 08:30G. Adamiak40113411113M. Miastowski3961111742
LMay 2 · 15:10G. Adamiak247980M. Miastowski331111113
WSep 21 · 12:25G. Adamiak341112113M. Miastowski2671090
LSep 21 · 06:40G. Adamiak4010118111M. Miastowski4312711133
LSep 20 · 13:15G. Adamiak224990M. Miastowski331111113
LSep 20 · 07:15G. Adamiak46117131052M. Miastowski461111112113
LSep 7 · 14:30G. Adamiak227690M. Miastowski331111113
WSep 7 · 07:30G. Adamiak43711311113M. Miastowski4011311962
G. Adamiak10
WSep 27 · 12:30K. Kolodziej1.6712880G. Adamiak2.101411113LSep 27 · 11:40K. Petas1.2511117113G. Adamiak3.75991141LSep 27 · 09:40G. Adamiak2.759360M. Jadczyk1.401111113WSep 27 · 08:30K. Kolodziej1.73911911112G. Adamiak2.00113114133LSep 27 · 07:20G. Adamiak2.38911391T. Spanik1.5311911113LSep 27 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.3611115113G. Adamiak3.00891181LSep 27 · 04:55M. Miastowski1.531111133G. Adamiak2.3884110LSep 27 · 03:25K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.755320WSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.25711512113M. Miastowski1.57119111042LSep 26 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6341191192A. Abbasi1.44119119113
M. Miastowski10
LSep 27 · 13:20M. Miastowski2.2011171102T. Spanik1.6111911813LSep 27 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.6711611113M. Miastowski2.10711951WSep 27 · 09:20K. Kolodziej1.8391390M. Miastowski1.831115113WSep 27 · 08:05M. Miastowski2.10111614153T. Spanik1.6781812131LSep 27 · 06:30K. Petas1.831111123M. Miastowski1.8376100LSep 27 · 05:40K. Kolodziej1.67111112113M. Miastowski2.10971491WSep 27 · 04:55M. Miastowski1.531111133G. Adamiak2.3884110LSep 27 · 03:45M. Miastowski2.502121141M. Jadczyk1.5011148113LSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.25711512113M. Miastowski1.57119111042LSep 26 · 12:55T. Spanik1.6781411113M. Miastowski2.101112691
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