Petr Osvald vs Pavel Bajtek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Sep 27Finished

Petr Osvald

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1181214115116––

Pavel Bajtek

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%

Graded at full time

Pavel Bajtek to win

55.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Pavel Bajtek below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 12-14

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Pavel Bajtek at 55.3%

78 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:27

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Bajtek

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Osvald 1502 vs Bajtek 1534

Bajtek

Wrong

both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Osvald 40% vs Bajtek 60%

Bajtek

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Osvald 60% vs Bajtek 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Osvald +2 · Bajtek -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bajtek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Osvald form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOsvald 1.83 / Bajtek 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Bajtek)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13199086

Osvald1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 24)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

Bajtek1.83

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 63 days ago (Jul 26) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricOsvaldBajtekBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 230 vs 28 / 5948.7%47.5%112 / 230 vs 28 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bajtek

Osvald 1.83/Bajtek 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Bajtek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Osvald won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Osvald10