TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Rostislav Niezgoda vs Tadeas Zika 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111412115711611
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:26 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 63.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 4–2 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Niezgoda beat Zika 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Niezgoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Niezgoda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niezgoda 1886 vs Zika 1780
Niezgoda
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 100% vs Zika 40%
Niezgoda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 70% vs Zika 40%
Niezgoda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda +6 · Zika +1
Niezgoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Niezgoda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.55 / Zika 2.30
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Niezgoda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13190691
Niezgoda1.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Zika2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 307 of 663
Down 0–1, comes back27% 91 of 332
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNiezgoda4wins
AwayZika2wins
5 of 6 to a deciderNiezgoda leads 4–2, and 5 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiezgoda75%3 of 4
AwayZikan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda4Zika2n = 6Niezgoda took 4 of 6
S2Niezgoda3Zika3n = 6split evenly
S3Niezgoda3Zika3n = 6split evenly
S4Niezgoda3Zika2n = 5Niezgoda took 3 of 5
S5Niezgoda3Zika2n = 5Niezgoda took 3 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricNiezgodaZikaN − ZBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match45.840.8+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 27 vs 808 / 175263%46.1%17 / 27 vs 808 / 1752Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaNiezgoda 1.55/Zika 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 24 · 15:30R. Niezgoda44115116113T. Zika4591181162
WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda331111113T. Zika166730
WSep 19 · 11:00R. Niezgoda48711811113T. Zika4411711782
WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda561114911113T. Zika4661611852
LSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda4611812692T. Zika507111011113
LSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda485111011112T. Zika44115123133
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 24 · 16:00R. Niezgoda1.83131111113J. Szotkowski1.83157971WSep 24 · 15:30T. Zika2.3891181162R. Niezgoda1.53115116113WSep 24 · 14:00R. Niezgoda1.85591113113M. Biolek1.85111151132WSep 22 · 17:30M. Biolek1.9181140R. Niezgoda1.801113113WSep 22 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.201111113J. Szotkowski1.618560WSep 22 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.911111123J. Dzida1.8085100LSep 22 · 14:00M. Biolek1.91611811113R. Niezgoda1.8011711762LSep 20 · 21:09R. Niezgoda2.00691191R. Polasek1.7311117113WSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113LSep 20 · 19:00R. Polasek3.25311611123R. Niezgoda1.33117119102
T. Zika10
WSep 25 · 09:30T. Zika1.8091311113P. Wawrosz1.911111971WSep 25 · 08:00T. Zika1.73101111123R. Revay2.001246101WSep 25 · 07:30M. Navedla2.007780T. Zika1.731111113LSep 25 · 06:00T. Zika1.67101080P. Wawrosz2.101212113WSep 24 · 16:30M. Biolek1.4041511832T. Zika2.751113811113LSep 24 · 15:30T. Zika2.3891181162R. Niezgoda1.53115116113WSep 24 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.67914891T. Zika2.10111211113LSep 24 · 12:58J. Szotkowski1.571111113T. Zika2.259230LSep 24 · 12:30T. Zika2.0011960J. Pilch1.731311113LSep 24 · 11:00T. Zika1.739450R. Revay2.001111113
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