TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Przewlocki vs Wojciech Urban 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121081111131181113
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:14 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 108 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 58.9%
108 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 11–9 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 14h before this match
Urban beat Przewlocki 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:14What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1290 vs Urban 1320
Urban
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 20% vs Urban 50%
Urban
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -3 · Urban -1
Przewlocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.91 / Urban 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Urban)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13177205
Przewlocki1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 345
Down 0–1, comes back23% 48 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 102
Urban1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 164 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it74% 118 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwayUrban5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki80%4 of 5
AwayUrban80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S2Przewlocki7Urban3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Przewlocki5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S4Przewlocki4Urban4n = 8split evenly
S5Przewlocki1Urban3n = 4Urban took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiUrbanP − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.542.7+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime521 / 1095 vs 779 / 165347.6%47.1%521 / 1095 vs 779 / 1653Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanPrzewlocki 1.91/Urban 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 13:30P. Przewlocki45118115102W. Urban50711911123
WSep 22 · 07:20P. Przewlocki47111112133W. Urban428914111
WSep 16 · 14:40P. Przewlocki47111213113W. Urban396141181
WSep 16 · 06:05P. Przewlocki381116113W. Urban3081480
WSep 8 · 09:50P. Przewlocki571313119113W. Urban51151171172
LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki214890W. Urban331111113
LSep 7 · 09:25P. Przewlocki521011121182W. Urban52127148113
WJul 14 · 21:00P. Przewlocki4413119113W. Urban341191131
LJul 14 · 16:35P. Przewlocki4491111582W. Urban50118911113
LJun 9 · 02:45P. Przewlocki401311881W. Urban4615911113
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 23 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.3812511113S. Szostok1.531011591LSep 22 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.911111113P. Przewlocki1.807650LSep 22 · 13:30W. Urban1.57711911123P. Przewlocki2.25118115102LSep 22 · 11:25O. Jadach1.61117511123P. Przewlocki2.20311113102WSep 22 · 10:35M. Skuril2.001110681P. Przewlocki1.7331211113LSep 22 · 09:00P. Brozek1.6112711113P. Przewlocki2.201011971LSep 22 · 08:10R. Niemiec1.6111146113P. Przewlocki2.205121191WSep 22 · 07:20W. Urban1.618914111P. Przewlocki2.20111112133LSep 22 · 05:15O. Jadach1.731111117113P. Przewlocki2.0013651142LSep 22 · 04:30P. Brozek1.6771111113P. Przewlocki2.10115961
W. Urban10
LSep 23 · 04:30W. Urban2.638911101K. Slawinski1.4411118123LSep 22 · 14:40P. Brozek1.501211113W. Urban2.5010690WSep 22 · 13:30W. Urban1.57711911123P. Przewlocki2.25118115102WSep 22 · 12:15M. Skuril2.001113681W. Urban1.7291511113WSep 22 · 11:00R. Niemiec1.8391111882W. Urban1.83117911113LSep 22 · 09:25O. Jadach1.61111011113W. Urban2.20912971WSep 22 · 08:35M. Skuril2.0041690W. Urban1.731118113LSep 22 · 07:20W. Urban1.618914111P. Przewlocki2.20111112133LSep 22 · 06:05P. Brozek1.611114113W. Urban2.2061210LSep 22 · 04:55R. Niemiec1.911181311113W. Urban1.80131111882
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 23 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.57P. Slosarczyk2.25—Sep 23 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.20P. Polok1.61—Sep 23 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.20K. Slawinski1.61—Sep 23 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.57P. Slosarczyk2.25—Sep 23 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.38S. Szostok1.53—Sep 23 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 23 · 12:40P. Przewlocki—P. Polok——Sep 23 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.20K. Slawinski1.61—
W. Urban
Sep 23 · 06:05W. Urban2.38S. Szostok1.53—Sep 23 · 06:55W. Urban1.36P. Slosarczyk3.00—Sep 23 · 07:45W. Urban2.00P. Polok1.73—Sep 23 · 09:00W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 23 · 10:10W. Urban2.00P. Polok1.73—Sep 23 · 11:50W. Urban1.80P. Przewlocki1.91—Sep 23 · 13:05W. Urban1.36P. Slosarczyk3.00—Sep 23 · 14:40W. Urban2.38S. Szostok1.53—
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