TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Urban vs Kacper Slawinski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111181012––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:14 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Urban above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 67.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Urban 1–3 Kacper Slawinski Wojciech Urban has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1330 vs Slawinski 1442
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 80% vs Slawinski 40%
Urban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +1 · Slawinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.63 / Slawinski 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Slawinski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13177216
Urban2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 214 of 521
Down 0–1, comes back19% 55 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 168
Slawinski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 132 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it98% 62 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it82% 98 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeUrban1wins
AwaySlawinski3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSlawinski leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbann = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban1Slawinski3n = 4Slawinski took 3 of 4
S2Urban2Slawinski2n = 4split evenly
S3Urban1Slawinski3n = 4Slawinski took 3 of 4
S4Urban1Slawinski3n = 4Slawinski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricUrbanSlawinskiU − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.542.0−5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime780 / 1654 vs 639 / 103247.2%61.9%780 / 1654 vs 639 / 1032Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiUrban 2.63/Slawinski 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban50811811123K. Slawinski45117116102
LSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban29811461K. Slawinski3911611113
LOct 15 · 17:30W. Urban32681171K. Slawinski4111118113
LSep 3 · 16:00W. Urban35129681K. Slawinski43101111113
W. Urban10
WSep 23 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.911281111112W. Urban1.801011138133LSep 22 · 14:40P. Brozek1.501211113W. Urban2.5010690WSep 22 · 13:30W. Urban1.57711911123P. Przewlocki2.25118115102WSep 22 · 12:15M. Skuril2.001113681W. Urban1.7291511113WSep 22 · 11:00R. Niemiec1.8391111882W. Urban1.83117911113LSep 22 · 09:25O. Jadach1.61111011113W. Urban2.20912971WSep 22 · 08:35M. Skuril2.0041690W. Urban1.731118113LSep 22 · 07:20W. Urban1.618914111P. Przewlocki2.20111112133LSep 22 · 06:05P. Brozek1.611114113W. Urban2.2061210LSep 22 · 04:55R. Niemiec1.911181311113W. Urban1.80131111882
K. Slawinski10
LSep 23 · 05:15P. Polok1.911111113K. Slawinski1.808170LSep 23 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3.40121110113K. Slawinski1.301091251WSep 22 · 16:20J. Pelka2.908121191K. Slawinski1.3511147113LSep 22 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski2.00911127123K. Slawinski1.701121011102WSep 22 · 14:45K. Slawinski1.6011118113K. Jablonski2.15891191LSep 22 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.35711101182O. Vincenec2.90119128113WSep 22 · 12:20W. Buczynski3.8012961192K. Slawinski1.221011119113LSep 22 · 11:05K. Slawinski1.55111231192K. Jablonski2.25714115113WSep 22 · 09:30K. Slawinski1.7314117113J. Pruszkowski2.001281171WSep 22 · 08:20K. Slawinski1.2271111113W. Buczynski3.60118671
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban
Sep 23 · 06:05W. Urban2.38S. Szostok1.53—Sep 23 · 06:55W. Urban1.36P. Slosarczyk3.00—Sep 23 · 07:45W. Urban2.00P. Polok1.73—Sep 23 · 09:00W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 23 · 10:10W. Urban2.00P. Polok1.73—Sep 23 · 11:50W. Urban1.80P. Przewlocki1.91—Sep 23 · 13:05W. Urban1.36P. Slosarczyk3.00—Sep 23 · 14:40W. Urban2.38S. Szostok1.53—
K. Slawinski
Sep 23 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.67S. Szostok2.10—Sep 23 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 23 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.44W. Urban2.63—Sep 23 · 10:35K. Slawinski1.28P. Slosarczyk3.50—Sep 23 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.80P. Polok1.91—Sep 23 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.67S. Szostok2.10—Sep 23 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—
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