TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Strutinskiy vs Ivan Nitchenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210117––––
Ivan Nitchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Ivan Nitchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 23–21 Ivan Nitchenko Ivan Nitchenko has won 21 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nitchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-21 in 44
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 2 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1662 vs Nitchenko 1646
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 40% vs Nitchenko 80%
Nitchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 40% vs Nitchenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy +1 · Nitchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nitchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nitchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 1.83 / Nitchenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nitchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172944
Strutinskiy1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Nitchenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy4wins
AwayNitchenko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNitchenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy66.7%2 of 3
AwayNitchenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy3Nitchenko7n = 10Nitchenko took 7 of 10
S2Strutinskiy3Nitchenko7n = 10Nitchenko took 7 of 10
S3Strutinskiy6Nitchenko4n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S4Strutinskiy4Nitchenko3n = 7Strutinskiy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrutinskiyNitchenkoS − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.736.3−1.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiyNitchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 809 vs 189 / 39351.3%48.1%415 / 809 vs 189 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NitchenkoStrutinskiy 1.83/Nitchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nitchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 15:00O. Strutinskiy4511711792I. Nitchenko51911911113
LSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy239680I. Nitchenko331111113
WSep 11 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy4111811113I. Nitchenko33911491
LSep 10 · 16:30O. Strutinskiy2681170I. Nitchenko351113113
WSep 8 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy4011711113I. Nitchenko32711591
LSep 4 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy196580I. Nitchenko331111113
WAug 21 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy4391111123I. Nitchenko331166101
WAug 11 · 05:50O. Strutinskiy3741111113I. Nitchenko27116371
LAug 7 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy4113121241I. Nitchenko50151014113
LAug 4 · 05:50O. Strutinskiy32931191I. Nitchenko3611113113
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 22 · 10:20M. Mrykh1.83116571O. Strutinskiy1.8381111113WSep 22 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.00112661O. Strutinskiy1.7391111113LSep 22 · 06:50O. Strutinskiy1.441112741E. Hrytsenko2.6361411113LSep 21 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy3.00571161V. Savoliuk1.3611118113WSep 21 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.2081111572O. Strutinskiy1.61114911113LSep 21 · 15:00V. Maksuta2.1013911113O. Strutinskiy1.671111941WSep 21 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.501211113E. Hrytsenko2.5010780LSep 21 · 13:00M. Mrykh1.83131194133O. Strutinskiy1.831191111112LSep 18 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy2.10101181192M. Deineha1.67128116113WSep 18 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.20119111072O. Strutinskiy1.61611912113
I. Nitchenko10
WSep 22 · 07:20M. Mrykh1.737912101I. Nitchenko2.00111110123LSep 22 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.20751212113I. Nitchenko1.611111101042WSep 18 · 18:00I. Nitchenko3.25991111143A. Nazarov1.33111178122WSep 18 · 16:30I. Nitchenko1.73812114113A. Derevianko2.00111041162WSep 18 · 15:00I. Nitchenko1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311711792LSep 18 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.75631191M. Deineha1.4011118113LSep 18 · 12:00I. Nitchenko2.00811111762E. Hrytsenko1.73118619113WSep 15 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov2.209101591I. Nitchenko1.61111213113LSep 15 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.506440V. Savoliuk1.501111113LSep 15 · 09:20A. Derevianko2.00115912113I. Nitchenko1.73811111082
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