Jan Benak vs Petr Dvorak 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 6 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Jan Benak

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

3117111012––––

Petr Dvorak

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingJan Benak above · Petr Dvorak below

Set 1 · 3-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 10-12

Point 54 set 3, 10-12

54 points played in total.

H2H Jan Benak 2–4 Petr Dvorak Jan Benak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 2–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Dvorak

Benak 2.10/Dvorak 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

0–3

Dvorak won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dvorak: form 80%, the price implies 60%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBenak 2.10 / Dvorak 1.666

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Benak beat Dvorak 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeBenak2wins

AwayDvorak4wins

1 of 6 to a deciderDvorak leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBenakn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayDvorak80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Benak1Dvorak5n = 6Dvorak took 5 of 6

S2Benak1Dvorak5n = 6Dvorak took 5 of 6

S3Benak2Dvorak4n = 6Dvorak took 4 of 6

S4Benak2Dvorak1n = 3Benak took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home117%

3–2Decider, home117%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away117%

0–3Straight, away350%

These 6 meetings

MetricBenakDvorakB − DBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match31.336.2−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBenakDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 193 vs 38 / 6754.4%56.7%105 / 193 vs 38 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.3per match

TT Cup · #13286086

Benak2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog43% won 16 of 37

Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14

Dvorak1.67

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite81% won 17 of 21

Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7

Up 1–0, closes it93% 14 of 15

Jan Benak vs Petr Dvorak 0-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jan Benak vs Petr Dvorak 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.