TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Kocab vs Jan Benak 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111214511––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Jan Benak below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 57 set 3, 5-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 16–13 Jan Benak Jan Benak has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kocab beat Benak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benak form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.666 / Benak 2.10
TT Cup · #13268588
Kocab1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 67 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it89% 56 of 63
Benak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 14 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocab6wins
AwayBenak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKocab leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab85.7%6 of 7
AwayBenak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab7Benak3n = 10Kocab took 7 of 10
S2Kocab6Benak4n = 10Kocab took 6 of 10
S3Kocab5Benak5n = 10split evenly
S4Kocab5Benak4n = 9Kocab took 5 of 9
S5Kocab2Benak3n = 5Benak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocabBenakK − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.038.2+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 296 vs 103 / 18947.3%54.5%140 / 296 vs 103 / 189Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KocabKocab 1.67/Benak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 06:55J. Kocab331111113J. Benak204790
WOct 4 · 11:25J. Kocab5411111110113J. Benak4871381282
WOct 2 · 10:40J. Kocab47111195113J. Benak3744111172
WOct 2 · 06:55J. Kocab4211911113J. Benak33711691
LSep 27 · 15:25J. Kocab33118771J. Benak3631111113
LSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab49811911102J. Benak42113115123
WAug 18 · 06:55J. Kocab4211911113J. Benak35811881
LAug 7 · 12:55J. Kocab43711311112J. Benak49117117133
WAug 6 · 14:09J. Kocab3911116113J. Benak31941171
LAug 6 · 11:55J. Kocab48514118102J. Benak511112511123
J. Kocab10
LOct 9 · 09:25V. Nadvornik1.8311118193J. Kocab1.833911171LOct 9 · 08:25J. Kocab2.5091180A. Kosacky1.501113113WOct 9 · 06:55J. Benak1.834790J. Kocab1.831111113LOct 8 · 13:25J. Kocab1.408520M. Brozek2.751111113LOct 8 · 12:50J. Kocab2.63961151M. Cerny1.4411117113LOct 8 · 11:20D. Vesecky2.631111113J. Kocab1.448590WOct 8 · 10:50M. Brozek2.6361480J. Kocab1.441116113LOct 4 · 14:25P. Dvorak1.661211123J. Kocab2.10109100LOct 4 · 12:55P. Dvorak1.801111811113J. Kocab1.9166111382WOct 4 · 12:25V. Nadvornik2.257580J. Kocab1.571111113
J. Benak10
LOct 9 · 08:55J. Benak1.831111111192A. Kosacky1.83131389113LOct 9 · 07:55J. Benak1.7381181162V. Nadvornik2.00115114113LOct 9 · 06:55J. Benak1.834790J. Kocab1.831111113WOct 8 · 17:35M. Brozek2.7571111542J. Benak1.40117811113LOct 8 · 16:20J. Benak2.108870P. Dvorak1.671111113LOct 8 · 15:20J. Benak1.67691261P. Benes2.10111110113LOct 8 · 14:20J. Benak1.5061171592M. Brozek2.501191113113WOct 4 · 13:55J. Benak1.611111113V. Nadvornik2.209580WOct 4 · 13:25J. Benak2.1011711113V. Nadvornik1.67711851LOct 4 · 11:55P. Dvorak1.6711911113J. Benak2.10811991
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