Stepan Rejent vs Ondrej Mezera 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Stepan Rejent

Home

1.62

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1151161517115––

Ondrej Mezera

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Ondrej Mezera below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 15-17

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 81 set 4, 11-5

81 points played in total.

H2H Stepan Rejent 23–20 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 20 of their 43 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6SplitHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Rejent

Rejent 1.61/Mezera 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Rejent won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mezera: form 20%, the price implies 45%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRejent 1.615 / Mezera 2.20

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Rejent beat Mezera 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRejent4wins

AwayMezera6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderMezera leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRejent75%3 of 4

AwayMezera83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rejent4Mezera6n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10

S2Rejent4Mezera6n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10

S3Rejent7Mezera3n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10

S4Rejent5Mezera3n = 8Rejent took 5 of 8

S5Rejent0Mezera4n = 4Mezera took 4 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricRejentMezeraR − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.239.6+1.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRejentMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 757 vs 386 / 80847%47.8%356 / 757 vs 386 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.6per match

Setka Cup · #13285654

Rejent1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite54% won 78 of 144

Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39

Up 1–0, closes it76% 60 of 79

Mezera2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog45% won 125 of 279

Down 0–1, comes back31% 52 of 168

Down 0–2, comes back19% 15 of 81

Stepan Rejent vs Ondrej Mezera 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Stepan Rejent vs Ondrej Mezera 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.