Piotr Przewlocki vs Jakub Pruszkowski 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 13Finished

Piotr Przewlocki

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1191210119––––

Jakub Pruszkowski

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched: 58.2% is still 58.2%

Graded at full time

Jakub Pruszkowski to win

58.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Jakub Pruszkowski below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 62 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 58.2%

62 points played in total.

H2H Piotr Przewlocki 7–29 Jakub Pruszkowski Piotr Przewlocki has won 7 of their 36 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pruszkowski

Przewlocki 2.10/Pruszkowski 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.2%

Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Przewlocki won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 02:56

58.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 1.8pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Pruszkowski

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-29 in 36

Pruszkowski

Wrong

gap of 22 in 36, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Przewlocki 1332 vs Pruszkowski 1447

Pruszkowski

Wrong

both rated, 115 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Przewlocki 20% vs Pruszkowski 80%

Pruszkowski

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Przewlocki 20% vs Pruszkowski 70%

Pruszkowski

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Przewlocki -3 · Pruszkowski +2

Przewlocki

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pruszkowski: form 80%, the price implies 60%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.10 / Pruszkowski 1.666

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Pruszkowski)-1.8pp (anti-value)

They have already met 2 times today · last one 14h before this match

Pruszkowski beat Przewlocki 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePrzewlocki4wins

AwayPruszkowski6wins

7 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayPruszkowski62.5%5 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Przewlocki2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10

S2Przewlocki8Pruszkowski2n = 10Przewlocki took 8 of 10

S3Przewlocki3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10

S4Przewlocki4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10

S5Przewlocki4Pruszkowski3n = 7Przewlocki took 4 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPrzewlockiPruszkowskiPrzewlocki − PruszkowskiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.146.2−3.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPrzewlockiPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 1085 vs 1168 / 185147.8%63.1%519 / 1085 vs 1168 / 1851Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13285055

Przewlocki2.10

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog38% won 139 of 365

Down 0–1, comes back24% 53 of 222

Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 107

Pruszkowski1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 435 of 671

Up 2–0, closes it95% 221 of 233

Up 1–0, closes it82% 333 of 408

Piotr Przewlocki vs Jakub Pruszkowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Piotr Przewlocki vs Jakub Pruszkowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.