Michal Moravec vs Radek Benes 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 52 - H2 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Michal Moravec

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

118119911119––

Radek Benes

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Radek Benes below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 79 set 4, 11-9

79 points played in total.

H2H Michal Moravec 32–27 Radek Benes Radek Benes has won 27 of their 59 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Moravec

Moravec 1.80/Benes 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Moravec won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Moravec: form 80%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMoravec 1.80 / Benes 1.909

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Moravec beat Benes 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMoravec5wins

AwayBenes5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMoravec50%2 of 4

AwayBenes50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Moravec4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10

S2Moravec7Benes3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10

S3Moravec7Benes3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10

S4Moravec1Benes6n = 7Benes took 6 of 7

S5Moravec2Benes2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMoravecBenesM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.8−0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMoravecBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 434 vs 545 / 103651.4%52.6%223 / 434 vs 545 / 1036Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match

TT Cup · #13284931

Moravec1.80

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 61 of 101

Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29

Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49

Benes1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog44% won 63 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83

Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40

Michal Moravec vs Radek Benes 3-1 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Michal Moravec vs Radek Benes 3-1 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.