Bruno Mrowetz vs Radek Benes 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 52 - H2 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Bruno Mrowetz

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

116911811118911

Radek Benes

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:59 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Bruno Mrowetz to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Radek Benes below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 95 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 54.0%

95 points played in total.

H2H Bruno Mrowetz 14–22 Radek Benes Bruno Mrowetz has won 14 of their 36 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mrowetz

Mrowetz 1.73/Benes 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Mrowetz · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Benes won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:59

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Mrowetz

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

14-22 in 36

Benes

Correct

gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Mrowetz 1640 vs Benes 1669

Benes

Correct

both rated, 28 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Mrowetz 60% vs Benes 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Mrowetz 60% vs Benes 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Mrowetz +3 · Benes -1

Mrowetz

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mrowetz) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMrowetz 1.727 / Benes 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Mrowetz)-3.9pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMrowetz6wins

AwayBenes4wins

Mrowetz leads 6–4.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMrowetz75%6 of 8

AwayBenesn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mrowetz8Benes2n = 10Mrowetz took 8 of 10

S2Mrowetz4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10

S3Mrowetz8Benes2n = 10Mrowetz took 8 of 10

S4Mrowetz2Benes4n = 6Benes took 4 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMrowetzBenesM − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.7+2.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMrowetzBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 544 vs 543 / 103450.4%52.5%274 / 544 vs 543 / 1034Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match

TT Cup · #13281923

Mrowetz1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite57% won 79 of 138

Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44

Up 1–0, closes it76% 60 of 79

Benes2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog44% won 63 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83

Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40

Bruno Mrowetz vs Radek Benes 2-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Bruno Mrowetz vs Radek Benes 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.