TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bruno Mrowetz vs Jiri Skalicky 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117114––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-3
Point 46 set 3, 5-3
46 points drawn · the score is 7 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 1–2 Jiri Skalicky Bruno Mrowetz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mrowetz beat Skalicky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 2.375 / Skalicky 1.533
TT Cup · #13279649
Mrowetz2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 65 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Skalicky1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 43 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMrowetz1wins
AwaySkalicky2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSkalicky leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz2Skalicky1n = 3Mrowetz took 2 of 3
S2Mrowetz1Skalicky2n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
S3Mrowetz0Skalicky3n = 3Skalicky took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMrowetzSkalickyM − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.042.0−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 542 vs 114 / 22550.2%50.7%272 / 542 vs 114 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickyMrowetz 2.38/Skalicky 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 11 · 12:15B. Mrowetz51111187143J. Skalicky49691111122
LAug 8 · 13:45B. Mrowetz371171091J. Skalicky4391112113
LJun 28 · 11:40B. Mrowetz2310850J. Skalicky341211113
B. Mrowetz10
WOct 11 · 12:15J. Skalicky1.33691111122B. Mrowetz3.25111187143LOct 11 · 11:15B. Mrowetz2.00811491F. Chaloupka1.7311411113LOct 11 · 09:45M. Zaskodny1.61111511113B. Mrowetz2.207131381LOct 9 · 13:03M. Moravec2.00851111113B. Mrowetz1.7311117892WOct 9 · 11:40B. Mrowetz1.7311613113R. Benes2.008111171WOct 9 · 10:40B. Mrowetz2.001111113T. Krenek1.734890LOct 9 · 09:40B. Mrowetz1.57911981M. Moravec2.2511911113WOct 6 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.80116116112B. Mrowetz1.91711711133WOct 6 · 12:10T. Krenek1.736760B. Mrowetz2.001111113LOct 6 · 11:10B. Mrowetz1.91911971J. Skvrna1.8011711113
J. Skalicky10
LOct 11 · 12:15J. Skalicky1.33691111122B. Mrowetz3.25111187143WOct 11 · 10:45M. Zaskodny1.8010780J. Skalicky1.911211113LOct 11 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.8011118113J. Skalicky1.91481151WOct 10 · 20:39D. Velky Jr1.7361411672J. Skalicky2.001112811113LOct 10 · 19:40J. Skalicky1.53891181J. Krupnik2.3811115113LOct 10 · 18:40J. Skalicky1.911271191D. Velky Jr1.8014114113LOct 10 · 17:40J. Skalicky1.83117381I. Heuman1.8331111113WOct 4 · 08:53J. Skalicky1.611111113J. Krupnik2.205680LOct 4 · 08:15J. Skalicky1.83811431J. Travnicek1.8311911113WOct 4 · 06:45F. Chaloupka1.8361111552J. Skalicky1.83119811113
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