Lukas Dzida vs Dalibor Velky Jr 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 23-Czech 12 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Lukas Dzida

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

151310125111412117

Dalibor Velky Jr

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 5

How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Dalibor Velky Jr below

Set 1 · 15-13

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 14-12

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 110 set 5, 11-7

110 points played in total.

H2H Lukas Dzida 5–8 Dalibor Velky Jr Lukas Dzida has won 5 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Dzida

Dzida 1.83/Velky Jr 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–2

Dzida won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Velky Jr: form 0%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDzida 1.833 / Velky Jr 1.833

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Dzida beat Velky Jr 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDzida3wins

AwayVelky Jr7wins

1 of 10 to a deciderVelky Jr leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDzidan = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayVelky Jr87.5%7 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dzida2Velky Jr8n = 10Velky Jr took 8 of 10

S2Dzida5Velky Jr5n = 10split evenly

S3Dzida5Velky Jr5n = 10split evenly

S4Dzida2Velky Jr3n = 5Velky Jr took 3 of 5

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricDzidaVelky JrD − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.836.6−0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDzidaVelky JrBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 264 vs 305 / 62253%49%140 / 264 vs 305 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.3per match

TT Cup · #13284718

Dzida1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Velky Jr1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Lukas Dzida vs Dalibor Velky Jr 3-2 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Lukas Dzida vs Dalibor Velky Jr 3-2 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.