Evgenii Bakin vs Oleksandr Badanin 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Evgenii Bakin

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1191012611118211

Oleksandr Badanin

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingEvgenii Bakin above · Oleksandr Badanin below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 2-11

Point 91 set 5, 2-11

91 points played in total.

H2H Evgenii Bakin 5–7 Oleksandr Badanin Evgenii Bakin has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Badanin

Bakin 1.91/Badanin 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

2–3

Badanin won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Badanin: form 40%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBakin 1.909 / Badanin 1.80

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Bakin beat Badanin 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBakin5wins

AwayBadanin5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBakin60%3 of 5

AwayBadanin60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Bakin5Badanin5n = 10split evenly

S2Bakin4Badanin6n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10

S3Bakin4Badanin6n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10

S4Bakin2Badanin3n = 5Badanin took 3 of 5

S5Bakin3Badanin0n = 3Bakin took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricBakinBadaninBakin − BadaninBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.6−1.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBakinBadaninBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 128 vs 153 / 32151.6%47.7%66 / 128 vs 153 / 321Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.836.5per match

Setka Cup · #13284165

Bakin1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog9% won 2 of 22

Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 15

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12

Badanin1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite64% won 33 of 52

Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33

Evgenii Bakin vs Oleksandr Badanin 2-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Evgenii Bakin vs Oleksandr Badanin 2-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.