Daniel Hyza vs Michal Brozek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 8 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Daniel Hyza

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1157112111012––

Michal Brozek

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%

Graded at full time

Michal Brozek to win

54.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Michal Brozek below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 2-11

Set 4 · 10-12

Point 69 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Michal Brozek at 54.1%

69 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Hyza 35–34 Michal Brozek Michal Brozek has won 34 of their 69 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7SplitHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brozek

Hyza 2.00/Brozek 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54.1%

Brozek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Brozek won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 20:44

54.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.8pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Brozek

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

35-34 in 69

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Hyza 1609 vs Brozek 1609

Hyza

Wrong

both rated, 0 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hyza 60% vs Brozek 40%

Hyza

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hyza 60% vs Brozek 40%

Hyza

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Hyza -2 · Brozek +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Brozek: form 20%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHyza 2.00 / Brozek 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Brozek)-3.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHyza3wins

AwayBrozek7wins

6 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHyza33.3%1 of 3

AwayBrozek71.4%5 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hyza3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10

S2Hyza2Brozek8n = 10Brozek took 8 of 10

S3Hyza6Brozek4n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10

S4Hyza5Brozek3n = 8Hyza took 5 of 8

S5Hyza2Brozek4n = 6Brozek took 4 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricHyzaBrozekH − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.841.6−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHyzaBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 402 vs 519 / 100155%51.9%221 / 402 vs 519 / 1001Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.8per match

TT Cup · #13283752

Hyza2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog27% won 18 of 68

Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 42

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25

Brozek1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite57% won 141 of 247

Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94

Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 144

Daniel Hyza vs Michal Brozek 1-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Daniel Hyza vs Michal Brozek 1-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.