Daniel Hyza vs Pavel Benes 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 8 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Daniel Hyza

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

511811911––––

Pavel Benes

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched: 59.0% is still 59.0%

Graded at full time

Pavel Benes to win

59.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Pavel Benes below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 55 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Pavel Benes at 59.0%

55 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Hyza 13–16 Pavel Benes Daniel Hyza has won 13 of their 29 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Benes

Hyza 2.10/Benes 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59%

Benes · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Benes won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 19:44

59.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 1.0pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Benes

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

13-16 in 29

Benes

Correct

gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Hyza 1618 vs Benes 1754

Benes

Correct

both rated, 137 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hyza 80% vs Benes 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hyza 60% vs Benes 80%

Benes

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Hyza -1 · Benes +4

Benes

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Benes) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Benes: form 80%, the price implies 60%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHyza 2.10 / Benes 1.666

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Benes)-1.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHyza3wins

AwayBenes7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHyza42.9%3 of 7

AwayBenes100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hyza7Benes3n = 10Hyza took 7 of 10

S2Hyza2Benes8n = 10Benes took 8 of 10

S3Hyza3Benes7n = 10Benes took 7 of 10

S4Hyza4Benes4n = 8split evenly

S5Hyza1Benes3n = 4Benes took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricHyzaBenesH − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.542.9−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHyzaBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 401 vs 260 / 53555.1%48.6%221 / 401 vs 260 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match

TT Cup · #13283719

Hyza2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog27% won 18 of 68

Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 42

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25

Benes1.67

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 09)

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 82 of 142

Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42

Up 1–0, closes it77% 53 of 69

Daniel Hyza vs Pavel Benes 0-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Daniel Hyza vs Pavel Benes 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.