TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Hyza vs Vaclav Hejda Jr 3-1 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 4 · Prague
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191311711118––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-7
Point 56 set 3, 5-7
56 points drawn · the score is 25 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Daniel Hyza 4–2 Vaclav Hejda Jr Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hyza beat Hejda Jr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejda Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.571 / Hejda Jr 2.25
TT Cup · #13269727
Hyza1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 71 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65
Hejda Jr2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 93 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHyza4wins
AwayHejda Jr2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderHyza leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza75%3 of 4
AwayHejda Jrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza4Hejda Jr2n = 6Hyza took 4 of 6
S2Hyza2Hejda Jr4n = 6Hejda Jr took 4 of 6
S3Hyza4Hejda Jr2n = 6Hyza took 4 of 6
S4Hyza3Hejda Jr3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHyzaHejda JrHyza − Hejda JrBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match42.839.4+3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaHejda JrBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 403 vs 383 / 77755.6%49.3%224 / 403 vs 383 / 777Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaHyza 1.57/Hejda Jr 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 9 · 13:25D. Hyza44115116113V. Hejda Jr4781191182
WSep 11 · 13:55D. Hyza4311912113V. Hejda Jr263111021
LSep 11 · 11:55D. Hyza361195111V. Hejda Jr4161111133
LAug 21 · 11:55D. Hyza4991461192V. Hejda Jr501112115113
WApr 28 · 06:55D. Hyza4211911113V. Hejda Jr33411991
D. Hyza10
WOct 9 · 13:25V. Hejda Jr2.2581191182D. Hyza1.57115116113WOct 9 · 12:25D. Hyza1.501111113O. Fiklik2.505960WOct 9 · 10:55A. Langer2.75612128102D. Hyza1.4011101011123LOct 6 · 17:50A. Rek1.6051111113D. Hyza2.20116891WOct 6 · 16:50D. Hyza1.441111113M. Kulisek2.636690LOct 6 · 15:20A. Rek1.7311311113D. Hyza2.00911991WOct 6 · 14:50M. Sulc2.637116101D. Hyza1.4411911123LSep 30 · 17:25P. Benes1.52111169113D. Hyza2.3597111142LSep 30 · 16:50D. Hyza2.00713140P. Benes1.731115163LSep 30 · 15:20M. Brozek1.731111113D. Hyza2.009550
V. Hejda Jr10
LOct 9 · 13:25V. Hejda Jr2.2581191182D. Hyza1.57115116113WOct 9 · 11:55A. Langer1.919111210102V. Hejda Jr1.801181012123WOct 9 · 11:25O. Fiklik1.6111121151V. Hejda Jr2.2013147113WOct 8 · 10:40V. Hejda Jr2.25121161113O. Fiklik1.57106111172WOct 8 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.5091191192V. Hejda Jr1.50115119113WOct 8 · 08:25V. Hejda Jr2.2511112113O. Fiklik1.57891181LOct 8 · 06:55A. Langer1.911111612113V. Hejda Jr1.8044111442LOct 7 · 10:23J. Vonasek1.67951111113V. Hejda Jr2.1011115952WOct 7 · 08:55A. Langer2.25461191V. Hejda Jr1.5711119113LOct 7 · 08:25J. Vonasek1.613111110113V. Hejda Jr2.2011851292
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