Michal Brozek vs Petr Vanek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 6 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Michal Brozek

Home

1.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1158111171113911

Petr Vanek

Away

1.95

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Petr Vanek below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-13

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 97 set 5, 9-11

97 points played in total.

H2H Michal Brozek 17–10 Petr Vanek Petr Vanek has won 10 of their 27 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brozek

Brozek 1.75/Vanek 1.95

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

2–3

Vanek won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vanek: form 20%, the price implies 51%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBrozek 1.75 / Vanek 1.95

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Brozek beat Vanek 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBrozek5wins

AwayVanek5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBrozek80%4 of 5

AwayVanek80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Brozek5Vanek5n = 10split evenly

S2Brozek6Vanek4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10

S3Brozek4Vanek6n = 10Vanek took 6 of 10

S4Brozek3Vanek2n = 5Brozek took 3 of 5

S5Brozek2Vanek2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricBrozekVanekB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.90.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrozekVanekBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 999 vs 161 / 31152%51.8%519 / 999 vs 161 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match

TT Cup · #13285957

Brozek1.75

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite57% won 141 of 247

Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94

Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 144

Vanek1.95

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog53% won 40 of 75

Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15

Michal Brozek vs Petr Vanek 2-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Michal Brozek vs Petr Vanek 2-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.