Ales Drozd vs Laurent Lasota 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 22 - Czech 11 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Ales Drozd

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

2111311411911––

Laurent Lasota

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingAles Drozd above · Laurent Lasota below

Set 1 · 2-11

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 72 set 4, 9-11

72 points played in total.

H2H Ales Drozd 2–4 Laurent Lasota Ales Drozd has won 2 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 2–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Drozd

Drozd 1.73/Lasota 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

1–3

Lasota won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lasota: form 20%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDrozd 1.727 / Lasota 2.00

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Drozd beat Lasota 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeDrozd2wins

AwayLasota4wins

3 of 6 to a deciderLasota leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDrozdn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayLasota75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Drozd2Lasota4n = 6Lasota took 4 of 6

S2Drozd2Lasota4n = 6Lasota took 4 of 6

S3Drozd0Lasota6n = 6Lasota took 6 of 6

S4Drozd3Lasota1n = 4Drozd took 3 of 4

S5Drozd2Lasota1n = 3Drozd took 2 of 3

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home233%

2–3Decider, away117%

1–3Four sets, away117%

0–3Straight, away233%

These 6 meetings

MetricDrozdLasotaD − LBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.840.7−4.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDrozdLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 298 vs 152 / 32151.3%47.4%153 / 298 vs 152 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match

TT Cup · #13283529

Drozd1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite55% won 53 of 96

Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55

Lasota2.00

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog53% won 45 of 85

Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20

Ales Drozd vs Laurent Lasota 1-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Ales Drozd vs Laurent Lasota 1-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.