Laurent Lasota vs Martin Lorenc 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 22 - Czech 11 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Laurent Lasota

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

6111614114811511

Martin Lorenc

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Martin Lorenc to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Martin Lorenc below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 16-14

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 5-11

Point 97 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Martin Lorenc at 54.0%

97 points played in total.

H2H Laurent Lasota 1–2 Martin Lorenc Laurent Lasota has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 1–2Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Lorenc

Lasota 1.83/Lorenc 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Lorenc · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Lorenc won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:34

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Lorenc

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-2 in 3

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lasota 1425 vs Lorenc 1444

Lorenc

Correct

both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lasota 20% vs Lorenc 60%

Lorenc

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lasota 30% vs Lorenc 50%

Lorenc

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lasota +1 · Lorenc +3

Lorenc

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Lorenc) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lasota: form 20%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLasota 1.833 / Lorenc 1.833

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Lorenc)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeLasota1wins

AwayLorenc2wins

2 of 3 to a deciderLorenc leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lasota2Lorenc1n = 3Lasota took 2 of 3

S2Lasota0Lorenc3n = 3Lorenc took 3 of 3

S3Lasota0Lorenc3n = 3Lorenc took 3 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away133%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away133%

These 3 meetings

MetricLasotaLorencLasota − LorencBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.341.3+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLasotaLorencBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 318 vs 78 / 16847.8%46.4%152 / 318 vs 78 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match

TT Cup · #13281560

Lasota1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 08)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Lorenc1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 5 days ago (Oct 07)

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Laurent Lasota vs Martin Lorenc 2-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Laurent Lasota vs Martin Lorenc 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.