TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Kindl vs Laurent Lasota 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171210911611118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched: 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Tomas Kindl at 62.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 4–1 Laurent Lasota Laurent Lasota has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:3862.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Kindl
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1531 vs Lasota 1453
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 60% vs Lasota 40%
Kindl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 50% vs Lasota 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl +1 · Lasota -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Kindl) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.533 / Lasota 2.375
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kindl)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13256594
Kindl1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 57 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Lasota2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 05)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog54% won 46 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKindl4wins
AwayLasota1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKindl leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKindl75%3 of 4
AwayLasotan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl4Lasota1n = 5Kindl took 4 of 5
S2Kindl3Lasota2n = 5Kindl took 3 of 5
S3Kindl5Lasota0n = 5Kindl took 5 of 5
S4Kindl2Lasota1n = 3Kindl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKindlLasotaK − LBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.635.6+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 462 vs 150 / 31049.6%48.4%229 / 462 vs 150 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KindlKindl 1.53/Lasota 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl331111113L. Lasota207850
WSep 4 · 06:15T. Kindl4112711113L. Lasota361011781
WMar 20 · 07:10T. Kindl341112113L. Lasota2891090
LMar 5 · 13:45T. Kindl53128129122L. Lasota5610111011143
WMar 5 · 10:45T. Kindl4271112123L. Lasota3811710101
T. Kindl10
WOct 7 · 06:45T. Kindl1.83316611113D. Pawlik1.83111411362WOct 6 · 12:44T. Kindl1.449131012123J. Przybyla2.6311111210102LOct 6 · 11:45T. Kindl2.101113581R. Sedlacek1.6781511113WOct 6 · 10:45T. Kindl1.80811711113D. Pawlik1.9111811582WOct 6 · 09:45T. Kindl1.501111113J. Przybyla2.506690LOct 3 · 20:44D. Vitasek2.101111123T. Kindl1.6798100LOct 3 · 20:15T. Kindl1.676890D. Vitasek2.101111113LOct 3 · 18:45I. Heuman1.83111199113T. Kindl1.8388111132WOct 3 · 18:15K. Kleprlik1.401112111172T. Kindl2.75131494113LOct 1 · 12:34T. Kindl1.531141061L. Dzida2.3871112113
L. Lasota10
LOct 5 · 21:05L. Lasota1.739760F. Theodor2.001111113WOct 5 · 20:10F. Theodor1.838770L. Lasota1.831111113WOct 5 · 19:10L. Lasota2.25121168113D. Branny1.57106111182LOct 5 · 17:40P. Vinansky1.301111133L. Lasota3.4044110LOct 2 · 08:50L. Lasota1.835111191R. Sedlacek1.8311613113LOct 2 · 08:15L. Lasota2.0010950M. Raska1.731211113WOct 2 · 06:45R. Sedlacek1.831155101L. Lasota1.8361111123WOct 2 · 06:15E. Precek1.6111101151L. Lasota2.2041213113LSep 30 · 20:45D. Osvald1.6111612113L. Lasota2.209111031LSep 30 · 19:40L. Lasota2.001016731D. Branny1.73121411113
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