TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Kamil Kleprlik vs Tomas Kindl 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131214119114711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 103 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 69.1%
103 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 3–1 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:1469.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 2.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kleprlik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kleprlik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1628 vs Kindl 1537
Kleprlik
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 60% vs Kindl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 50% vs Kindl 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik +1 · Kindl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Kleprlik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 1.40 / Kindl 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kleprlik)-2.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13237423
Kleprlik1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 53 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it70% 35 of 50
Kindl2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 54 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKleprlik3wins
AwayKindl1wins
Kleprlik leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKindl25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik0Kindl4n = 4Kindl took 4 of 4
S2Kleprlik3Kindl1n = 4Kleprlik took 3 of 4
S3Kleprlik3Kindl1n = 4Kleprlik took 3 of 4
S4Kleprlik3Kindl0n = 3Kleprlik took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKleprlikKindlKleprlik − KindlBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match38.534.5+4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 544 vs 225 / 45449.5%49.6%269 / 544 vs 225 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.541.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikKleprlik 1.40/Kindl 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 26 · 13:40K. Kleprlik4291111113T. Kindl31115871
WAug 14 · 17:45K. Kleprlik50161112113T. Kindl411861071
WMay 7 · 15:15K. Kleprlik4281112113T. Kindl331161061
LApr 18 · 20:15K. Kleprlik209560T. Kindl331111113
K. Kleprlik10
WOct 3 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.10612671K. Kleprlik1.67111011113WOct 3 · 16:46K. Kleprlik1.871111113J. Krupnik1.835570LOct 3 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5791111113K. Kleprlik2.25118391WOct 3 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8311101011123J. Krupnik1.83812125102LOct 3 · 13:45M. Macurak2.001111119113K. Kleprlik1.7361351132WOct 2 · 20:53K. Kleprlik2.006151111113L. Slavik1.7311176592LOct 2 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.7389111192D. Vitasek2.00111149113WOct 2 · 18:45L. Slavik1.6741011101K. Kleprlik2.1011129123LOct 2 · 18:15D. Stusek1.6091111143K. Kleprlik2.201168121LOct 1 · 17:05B. Moravec1.111111113K. Kleprlik6.005260
T. Kindl10
LOct 3 · 18:45I. Heuman1.83111199113T. Kindl1.8388111132LOct 1 · 12:34T. Kindl1.531141061L. Dzida2.3871112113WOct 1 · 12:10L. Dzida1.834890T. Kindl1.831111113LOct 1 · 11:10T. Kindl2.109940B. Mrowetz1.671111113WOct 1 · 09:40D. Velky Jr1.67911190T. Kindl2.101113213WSep 30 · 12:38T. Kindl1.9161112113L. Dzida1.801181061WSep 30 · 12:10T. Kindl2.001112133L. Dzida1.73610110LSep 30 · 10:40M. Moravec1.80119116113T. Kindl1.9191171192LSep 30 · 10:10R. Benes1.83121210113T. Kindl1.8310101291LSep 30 · 08:38T. Kindl1.737111111182D. Pawlik2.00118138203
Upcoming Matches
K. Kleprlik
Nothing scheduled
T. Kindl
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