TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Slavik vs Kamil Kleprlik 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
41110121191012––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-6
Point 65 set 4, 2-6 · our read held Lukas Slavik at 55.8%
65 points drawn · the score is 14 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lukas Slavik 1–0 Kamil Kleprlik Kamil Kleprlik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:4055.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Slavik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Slavik 1629 vs Kleprlik 1614
Slavik
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavik 20% vs Kleprlik 40%
Kleprlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavik 50% vs Kleprlik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavik -1 · Kleprlik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Slavik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 1.666 / Kleprlik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Slavik)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13232113
Slavik1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 41 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Kleprlik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 69 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSlavik1wins
AwayKleprlik0wins
Slavik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSlavikKleprlikS − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.032.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 245 vs 265 / 53752.2%49.4%128 / 245 vs 265 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikSlavik 1.67/Kleprlik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 2 · 16:10L. Slavik3611113113K. Kleprlik32861171
L. Slavik10
LOct 2 · 17:45L. Slavik1.5311811111D. Vitasek2.3813117133WSep 30 · 12:44L. Kantor2.207990L. Slavik1.611111113LSep 30 · 11:45L. Slavik1.914880J. Skvrna1.801111113LSep 30 · 10:45L. Slavik1.61571181T. Krenek2.2011117113LSep 30 · 09:45L. Slavik1.6161141192L. Kantor2.20119117113WSep 28 · 21:18J. Gembala1.91111158122L. Slavik1.80561111143WSep 28 · 20:15L. Slavik1.571011111113D. Velky Jr2.2512741162WSep 28 · 18:45J. Gembala1.737114121L. Slavik2.0011911143LSep 28 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.8351111113L. Slavik1.83116951WSep 27 · 17:09F. Chaloupka1.731271251L. Slavik2.00101114113
K. Kleprlik10
LOct 2 · 18:15D. Stusek1.6091111143K. Kleprlik2.201168121LOct 1 · 17:05B. Moravec1.111111113K. Kleprlik6.005260WOct 1 · 16:10D. Velky Jr2.389840K. Kleprlik1.531111113WOct 1 · 15:10K. Kleprlik1.83117119113F. Chaloupka1.8391171162LOct 1 · 13:40B. Moravec1.361111113K. Kleprlik3.002590WSep 28 · 16:38K. Kleprlik1.361111133D. Pawlik3.0074110WSep 28 · 15:40K. Kleprlik1.91311115113R. Benes1.8011781172LSep 28 · 14:40K. Kleprlik1.44811381A. Kanak2.6311111113WSep 28 · 13:40K. Kleprlik1.571111113D. Pawlik2.259490WSep 26 · 21:15K. Kleprlik1.5791111113D. Vitasek2.25119861
Upcoming Matches
L. Slavik
Nothing scheduled
K. Kleprlik
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