TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Slavik vs Lukas Kantor 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119411117911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Lukas Slavik at 58.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 4–3 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4458.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Slavik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slavik 1678 vs Kantor 1555
Slavik
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavik 80% vs Kantor 40%
Slavik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavik 80% vs Kantor 30%
Slavik
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavik +3 · Kantor -1
Slavik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Slavik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 1.615 / Kantor 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Slavik)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13218638
Slavik1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 28)
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 40 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 29 of 38
Kantor2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSlavik4wins
AwayKantor3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSlavik leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlavikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKantor60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slavik2Kantor5n = 7Kantor took 5 of 7
S2Slavik5Kantor2n = 7Slavik took 5 of 7
S3Slavik5Kantor2n = 7Slavik took 5 of 7
S4Slavik4Kantor0n = 4Slavik took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSlavikKantorS − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match36.634.7+1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 240 vs 193 / 38452.9%50.3%127 / 240 vs 193 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikSlavik 1.61/Kantor 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 15 · 06:40L. Slavik4261411113L. Kantor401112891
WJun 11 · 07:15L. Slavik331111113L. Kantor215790
WJun 8 · 11:40L. Slavik351111133L. Kantor2595110
LJun 1 · 08:15L. Slavik3954111182L. Kantor41111153113
LMay 18 · 08:55L. Slavik2595110L. Kantor351111133
WMay 18 · 06:45L. Slavik3961111113L. Kantor31116771
LApr 27 · 06:40L. Slavik4381191142L. Kantor50119118113
L. Slavik10
WSep 28 · 21:18J. Gembala1.91111158122L. Slavik1.80561111143WSep 28 · 20:15L. Slavik1.571011111113D. Velky Jr2.2512741162WSep 28 · 18:45J. Gembala1.737114121L. Slavik2.0011911143LSep 28 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.8351111113L. Slavik1.83116951WSep 27 · 17:09F. Chaloupka1.731271251L. Slavik2.00101114113WSep 27 · 16:10D. Velky Jr2.201111061L. Slavik1.6111712113LSep 27 · 15:10L. Slavik2.251181111102F. Chaloupka1.57131197123WSep 27 · 13:40J. Skvrna1.675111151L. Slavik2.1011613113WSep 25 · 09:09L. Slavik2.10111110123J. Krupnik1.676912101WSep 25 · 07:40L. Slavik2.25118128133J. Krupnik1.577111011112
L. Kantor10
LSep 30 · 09:14D. Velky Jr1.91114911153L. Kantor1.80911113132WSep 30 · 08:15T. Krenek1.838117121L. Kantor1.8311311143LSep 30 · 07:15L. Kantor1.8311127632I. Heuman1.838101111113WSep 30 · 05:45D. Velky Jr2.1011911282L. Kantor1.67511611113LSep 28 · 16:45F. Chaloupka1.50911811113L. Kantor2.5011811472LSep 28 · 16:15J. Krupnik1.501111113L. Kantor2.508960LSep 28 · 15:15L. Kantor2.5012750B. Mrowetz1.501411113LSep 28 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.5011611113L. Kantor2.50611991LSep 25 · 17:15T. Molin1.5711129113L. Kantor2.258101181WSep 25 · 15:45L. Kantor1.7311911113V. Konvicka2.00811591
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