TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Kamil Kleprlik vs Daniel Vitasek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811911114119911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 56.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 12–18 Daniel Vitasek Kamil Kleprlik has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5856.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kleprlik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-18 in 30
Vitasek
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1626 vs Vitasek 1503
Kleprlik
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 60% vs Vitasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 60% vs Vitasek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik +1 · Vitasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Kleprlik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 1.727 / Vitasek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kleprlik)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13232516
Kleprlik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 53 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 35 of 51
Vitasek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 93 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKleprlik5wins
AwayVitasek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik66.7%4 of 6
AwayVitasek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik6Vitasek4n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S2Kleprlik8Vitasek2n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S3Kleprlik3Vitasek7n = 10Vitasek took 7 of 10
S4Kleprlik4Vitasek4n = 8split evenly
S5Kleprlik1Vitasek2n = 3Vitasek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKleprlikVitasekK − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.440.5+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 538 vs 311 / 65849.4%47.3%266 / 538 vs 311 / 658Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikKleprlik 1.73/Vitasek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 21:15K. Kleprlik4291111113D. Vitasek34119861
WSep 26 · 19:10K. Kleprlik371214113D. Vitasek29101270
LAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik397111381D. Vitasek4511815113
WAug 30 · 06:15K. Kleprlik43111110113D. Vitasek33791251
WAug 23 · 08:15K. Kleprlik5311111010113D. Vitasek4888121282
LAug 22 · 10:15K. Kleprlik48711101192D. Vitasek42116122113
WAug 22 · 07:15K. Kleprlik331111113D. Vitasek237880
LAug 1 · 18:15K. Kleprlik631118911142D. Vitasek63920117163
LAug 1 · 16:15K. Kleprlik397119121D. Vitasek4411811143
LJul 26 · 08:40K. Kleprlik371296101D. Vitasek44101111123
K. Kleprlik10
WOct 2 · 20:53K. Kleprlik2.006151111113L. Slavik1.7311176592WOct 2 · 18:45L. Slavik1.6741011101K. Kleprlik2.1011129123LOct 2 · 18:15D. Stusek1.6091111143K. Kleprlik2.201168121LOct 1 · 17:05B. Moravec1.111111113K. Kleprlik6.005260WOct 1 · 16:10D. Velky Jr2.389840K. Kleprlik1.531111113WOct 1 · 15:10K. Kleprlik1.83117119113F. Chaloupka1.8391171162LOct 1 · 13:40B. Moravec1.361111113K. Kleprlik3.002590WSep 28 · 16:38K. Kleprlik1.361111133D. Pawlik3.0074110WSep 28 · 15:40K. Kleprlik1.91311115113R. Benes1.8011781172LSep 28 · 14:40K. Kleprlik1.44811381A. Kanak2.6311111113
D. Vitasek10
LOct 2 · 21:25D. Stusek1.331111113D. Vitasek3.259670LOct 2 · 19:15D. Vitasek3.005590D. Stusek1.361111113WOct 2 · 17:45L. Slavik1.5311811111D. Vitasek2.3813117133WOct 1 · 21:10I. Heuman1.578960D. Vitasek2.251111113WOct 1 · 20:15P. Marsalek1.618490D. Vitasek2.201111113LOct 1 · 19:15D. Vitasek1.9111212512I. Heuman1.802111011113WOct 1 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.809910D. Vitasek1.911111113LSep 28 · 12:40D. Vitasek1.7311470L. Lasota2.001311113LSep 28 · 11:45P. Vinansky1.531111113D. Vitasek2.388960WSep 28 · 11:15L. Lasota1.801171141D. Vitasek1.9113116113
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