David Sochor vs Vaclav Hejda Jr 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 4 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

David Sochor

Home

2.40

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1012117119411119

Vaclav Hejda Jr

Away

1.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched: 64.7% is still 64.7%

Graded at full time

Vaclav Hejda Jr to win

64.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 4-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 95 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 64.7%

95 points played in total.

H2H David Sochor 6–8 Vaclav Hejda Jr David Sochor has won 6 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hejda Jr

Sochor 2.40/Hejda Jr 1.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

64.7%

Hejda Jr · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Sochor won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:14

64.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 2.0pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (62%)

Hejda Jr

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

6-8 in 14

Hejda Jr

Wrong

gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sochor 1433 vs Hejda Jr 1612

Hejda Jr

Wrong

both rated, 179 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sochor 60% vs Hejda Jr 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sochor 50% vs Hejda Jr 70%

Hejda Jr

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sochor +1 · Hejda Jr +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Hejda Jr) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sochor: form 60%, the price implies 42%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSochor 2.40 / Hejda Jr 1.50

Signal prob.35% / 65%

Edge (Hejda Jr)-2.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSochor4wins

AwayHejda Jr6wins

5 of 10 to a deciderHejda Jr leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSochor66.7%2 of 3

AwayHejda Jr71.4%5 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sochor3Hejda Jr7n = 10Hejda Jr took 7 of 10

S2Sochor4Hejda Jr6n = 10Hejda Jr took 6 of 10

S3Sochor7Hejda Jr3n = 10Sochor took 7 of 10

S4Sochor2Hejda Jr7n = 9Hejda Jr took 7 of 9

S5Sochor3Hejda Jr2n = 5Sochor took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSochorHejda JrS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.343.8−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSochorHejda JrBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 230 vs 385 / 78040.4%49.4%93 / 230 vs 385 / 780Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.3per match

TT Cup · #13281833

Sochor2.40

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog38% won 21 of 56

Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22

Hejda Jr1.50

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite57% won 49 of 86

Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51

David Sochor vs Vaclav Hejda Jr 3-2 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

David Sochor vs Vaclav Hejda Jr 3-2 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.