Oleksandr Ovsiienko vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Ovsiienko

Home

2.63

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 6

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

119114113––––

Maksym Stetsenko

Away

1.44

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:18 and never touched: 67.3% is still 67.3%

Graded at full time

Maksym Stetsenko to win

67.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Maksym Stetsenko below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-3

Point 49 set 3, 11-3 · our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 67.3%

49 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 73–67 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 67 of their 140 meetings.

Last 10 · 1–9SplitHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stetsenko

Ovsiienko 2.63/Stetsenko 1.44

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

67.3%

Stetsenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Ovsiienko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:18

67.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 2.0pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Stetsenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

73-67 in 140

Ovsiienko

Correct

gap of 6 in 140, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Ovsiienko 1299 vs Stetsenko 1434

Stetsenko

Wrong

both rated, 135 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Ovsiienko 0% vs Stetsenko 60%

Stetsenko

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Ovsiienko 30% vs Stetsenko 50%

Stetsenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Ovsiienko -6 · Stetsenko +1

Ovsiienko

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Stetsenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ovsiienko: form 0%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOvsiienko 2.625 / Stetsenko 1.444

Signal prob.33% / 67%

Edge (Stetsenko)-2.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOvsiienko1wins

AwayStetsenko9wins

5 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOvsiienko0%0 of 3

AwayStetsenko85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ovsiienko3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10

S2Ovsiienko3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10

S3Ovsiienko3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10

S4Ovsiienko4Stetsenko2n = 6Ovsiienko took 4 of 6

S5Ovsiienko0Stetsenko5n = 5Stetsenko took 5 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away550%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricOvsiienkoStetsenkoO − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.341.3−9.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOvsiienkoStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime461 / 903 vs 460 / 88151.1%52.2%461 / 903 vs 460 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281775

Ovsiienko2.63

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog37% won 81 of 217

Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 118

Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77

Stetsenko1.44

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite67% won 119 of 179

Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73

Up 1–0, closes it87% 90 of 104

Oleksandr Ovsiienko vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Oleksandr Ovsiienko vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.