Martin Vana vs Jan Simecek Jnr 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Martin Vana

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1161214116113––

Jan Simecek Jnr

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 6

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Martin Vana to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMartin Vana above · Jan Simecek Jnr below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 12-14

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 11-3

Point 74 set 4, 11-3 · our read held Martin Vana at 54.0%

74 points played in total.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vana

Vana 1.80/Jnr 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Vana · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Vana won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:34

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Vana

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Vana 1599 vs Jnr 1691

Jnr

Wrong

both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vana 20% vs Jnr 100%

Jnr

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vana 30% vs Jnr 80%

Jnr

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vana +1 · Jnr +6

Jnr

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vana) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jnr: form 100%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVana 1.80 / Jnr 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Vana)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricVanaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 139 vs 229 / 43053.2%53.3%74 / 139 vs 229 / 430Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281623

Vana1.80

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite66% won 29 of 44

Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it86% 24 of 28

Jnr1.91

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 6

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog45% won 33 of 73

Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19

Martin Vana vs Jan Simecek Jnr 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Martin Vana vs Jan Simecek Jnr 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.