Volodymyr Vasyliev vs Anatolii Nikolenko 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Volodymyr Vasyliev

Home

1.50

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

116119118––––

Anatolii Nikolenko

Away

2.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:29 and never touched: 66.1% is still 66.1%

Graded at full time

Volodymyr Vasyliev to win

66.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Volodymyr Vasyliev @ 1.50 · Won

How it is goingVolodymyr Vasyliev above · Anatolii Nikolenko below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-8

Point 56 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Volodymyr Vasyliev at 66.1%

56 points played in total.

H2H Volodymyr Vasyliev 9–6 Anatolii Nikolenko Anatolii Nikolenko has won 6 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vasyliev

Vasyliev 1.50/Nikolenko 2.50

Hit

What we said

66.1%

Vasyliev · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Volodymyr Vasyliev @ 1.50 · Won

What happened

3–0

Vasyliev won

The pick

Sealed 07:29

Sent to Pro: Volodymyr Vasyliev @ 1.50 · Won

66.1%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 0.6pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Vasyliev

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

9-6 in 15

Vasyliev

Correct

gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vasyliev 1192 vs Nikolenko 1072

Vasyliev

Correct

both rated, 121 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vasyliev 80% vs Nikolenko 40%

Vasyliev

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vasyliev 80% vs Nikolenko 50%

Vasyliev

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vasyliev +3 · Nikolenko -1

Vasyliev

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

6 for, 0 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Vasyliev) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vasyliev: form 80%, the price implies 67%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVasyliev 1.50 / Nikolenko 2.50

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Vasyliev)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVasyliev7wins

AwayNikolenko3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderVasyliev leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVasyliev71.4%5 of 7

AwayNikolenko33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vasyliev7Nikolenko3n = 10Vasyliev took 7 of 10

S2Vasyliev5Nikolenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Vasyliev7Nikolenko3n = 10Vasyliev took 7 of 10

S4Vasyliev4Nikolenko5n = 9Nikolenko took 5 of 9

S5Vasyliev2Nikolenko1n = 3Vasyliev took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVasylievNikolenkoV − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.7+0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVasylievNikolenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 166 vs 320 / 67948.2%47.1%80 / 166 vs 320 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match

Setka Cup · #13280842

Vasyliev1.50

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite77% won 30 of 39

Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14

Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30

Nikolenko2.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog30% won 41 of 138

Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 90

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50

Volodymyr Vasyliev vs Anatolii Nikolenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Volodymyr Vasyliev vs Anatolii Nikolenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.