Jan Svoboda vs Michal Vedmoch 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jan Svoboda

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

5117111210114115

Michal Vedmoch

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jan Svoboda to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Michal Vedmoch @ 2.10 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Michal Vedmoch below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-4

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 87 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Jan Svoboda at 54.0%

87 points played in total.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vedmoch

Svoboda 1.67/Vedmoch 2.10

Miss

What we said

54%

Svoboda · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Michal Vedmoch @ 2.10 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

What happened

3–2

Svoboda won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pick

Sealed 11:49

Sent to Pro: Michal Vedmoch @ 2.10 · Lost

54.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 6.0pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Svoboda

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Svoboda 1553 vs Vedmoch 1597

Vedmoch

Wrong

both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Svoboda 20% vs Vedmoch 40%

Vedmoch

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Svoboda 30% vs Vedmoch 60%

Vedmoch

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Svoboda -4 · Vedmoch -1

Svoboda

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Svoboda: form 20%, the price implies 60%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSvoboda 1.666 / Vedmoch 2.10

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Svoboda)-6.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSvobodaVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 46 vs 734 / 138450%53%23 / 46 vs 734 / 1384Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280635

Svoboda1.67

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite69% won 18 of 26

Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it88% 15 of 17

Vedmoch2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog45% won 117 of 261

Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 130

Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 77

Jan Svoboda vs Michal Vedmoch 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jan Svoboda vs Michal Vedmoch 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.