Jan Mecl Jr vs Radim Urbaniec 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jan Mecl Jr

Home

1.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

611119811811––

Radim Urbaniec

Away

2.50

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched: 66.9% is still 66.9%

Graded at full time

Jan Mecl Jr to win

66.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Radim Urbaniec below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 75 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 66.9%

75 points played in total.

H2H Jan Mecl Jr 19–8 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 8 of their 27 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mecl Jr

Mecl Jr 1.50/Urbaniec 2.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

66.9%

Mecl Jr · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Urbaniec won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:24

66.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

clears by 0.2pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Mecl Jr

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

19-8 in 27

Mecl Jr

Wrong

gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Mecl Jr 1812 vs Urbaniec 1643

Mecl Jr

Wrong

both rated, 169 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Mecl Jr 60% vs Urbaniec 40%

Mecl Jr

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Mecl Jr 70% vs Urbaniec 20%

Mecl Jr

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Mecl Jr -1 · Urbaniec -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Mecl Jr) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMecl Jr 1.50 / Urbaniec 2.50

Signal prob.67% / 33%

Edge (Mecl Jr)+0.2pp

Same-day rematch · 6h before this match

Mecl Jr beat Urbaniec 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMecl Jr8wins

AwayUrbaniec2wins

7 of 10 to a deciderMecl Jr leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMecl Jr85.7%6 of 7

AwayUrbaniec33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mecl Jr7Urbaniec3n = 10Mecl Jr took 7 of 10

S2Mecl Jr5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly

S3Mecl Jr7Urbaniec3n = 10Mecl Jr took 7 of 10

S4Mecl Jr2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10

S5Mecl Jr6Urbaniec1n = 7Mecl Jr took 6 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home660%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMecl JrUrbaniecM − UBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.441.2+5.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMecl JrUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 724 vs 695 / 137351.9%50.6%376 / 724 vs 695 / 1373Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.7per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280483

Mecl Jr1.50

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite60% won 129 of 216

Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72

Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 121

Urbaniec2.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog39% won 186 of 474

Down 0–1, comes back22% 59 of 270

Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 152

Jan Mecl Jr vs Radim Urbaniec 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jan Mecl Jr vs Radim Urbaniec 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.