Pavel Fojt vs Jiri Plachy 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Pavel Fojt

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

911112115117––

Jiri Plachy

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Pavel Fojt to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Jiri Plachy below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-2

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 67 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Pavel Fojt at 54.0%

67 points played in total.

H2H Pavel Fojt 61–62 Jiri Plachy Pavel Fojt has won 61 of their 123 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Fojt

Fojt 1.80/Plachy 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Fojt · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Fojt won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:17

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Fojt

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

61-62 in 123

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Fojt 1513 vs Plachy 1434

Fojt

Correct

both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Fojt 40% vs Plachy 20%

Fojt

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Fojt 50% vs Plachy 30%

Fojt

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Fojt +2 · Plachy -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Fojt) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Plachy: form 20%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFojt 1.80 / Plachy 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Fojt)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeFojt3wins

AwayPlachy7wins

5 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeFojt33.3%2 of 6

AwayPlachy75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Fojt6Plachy4n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10

S2Fojt4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10

S3Fojt4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10

S4Fojt4Plachy5n = 9Plachy took 5 of 9

S5Fojt2Plachy4n = 6Plachy took 4 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricFojtPlachyF − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.842.8−2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricFojtPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 693 vs 738 / 161048.8%45.8%338 / 693 vs 738 / 1610Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13279931

Fojt1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite63% won 80 of 127

Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64

Plachy1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 149 of 373

Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 209

Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 114

Pavel Fojt vs Jiri Plachy 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Pavel Fojt vs Jiri Plachy 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.