Vladimir Kubat vs Jiri Koch 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Vladimir Kubat

Home

1.50

At publish

Lost last 9

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 9

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

9111141715115––

Jiri Koch

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 61.6% is still 61.6%

Graded at full time

Vladimir Kubat to win

61.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Vladimir Kubat @ 1.50 · Won

How it is goingVladimir Kubat above · Jiri Koch below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 17-15

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 83 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Vladimir Kubat at 61.6%

83 points played in total.

H2H Vladimir Kubat 12–2 Jiri Koch Jiri Koch has won 2 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kubat

Kubat 1.50/Koch 2.50

Hit

What we said

61.6%

Kubat · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Vladimir Kubat @ 1.50 · Won

What happened

3–1

Kubat won

The pick

Sealed 05:54

Sent to Pro: Vladimir Kubat @ 1.50 · Won

61.6%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 5.1pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Kubat

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

12-2 in 14

Kubat

Correct

gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kubat 973 vs Koch 996

Koch

Wrong

both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kubat 0% vs Koch 80%

Koch

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kubat 10% vs Koch 50%

Koch

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kubat -9 · Koch +1

Kubat

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 0 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Kubat) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Koch: form 80%, the price implies 40%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKubat 1.50 / Koch 2.50

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Kubat)-5.1pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKubat8wins

AwayKoch2wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKubat leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKubat100%5 of 5

AwayKoch40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kubat5Koch5n = 10split evenly

S2Kubat6Koch4n = 10Kubat took 6 of 10

S3Kubat7Koch3n = 10Kubat took 7 of 10

S4Kubat6Koch2n = 8Kubat took 6 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricKubatKochKubat − KochBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.733.8+7.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKubatKochBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 263 vs 33 / 8939.9%37.1%105 / 263 vs 33 / 89Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.8per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13279904

Kubat1.50

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 9

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite61% won 19 of 31

Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it100% 15 of 15

Koch2.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog28% won 14 of 50

Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14

Vladimir Kubat vs Jiri Koch 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Vladimir Kubat vs Jiri Koch 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.