TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalimil Machander vs Lukas Velicka 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1416116611118911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-6
Point 74 set 4, 4-6
74 points drawn · the score is 29 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Dalimil Machander 4–0 Lukas Velicka Lukas Velicka has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Machander beat Velicka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.40 / Velicka 2.65
Czech Liga Pro · #13279682
Machander1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it72% 36 of 50
Velicka2.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 24 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMachander4wins
AwayVelicka0wins
Machander leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander100%3 of 3
AwayVelickan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander3Velicka1n = 4Machander took 3 of 4
S2Machander3Velicka1n = 4Machander took 3 of 4
S3Machander3Velicka1n = 4Machander took 3 of 4
S4Machander3Velicka0n = 3Machander took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMachanderVelickaM − VBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.833.0+6.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 405 vs 118 / 23345.9%50.6%186 / 405 vs 118 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderMachander 1.40/Velicka 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Velicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 11 · 10:00D. Machander3711411113L. Velicka35911781
WSep 26 · 08:30D. Machander371115113L. Velicka2681350
WSep 23 · 17:28D. Machander4111127113L. Velicka368101171
WSep 23 · 14:30D. Machander44111111113L. Velicka35136971
D. Machander10
WOct 11 · 12:00D. Machander1.83911811113M. Blejchar1.8311911252LOct 11 · 11:30P. Osvald1.501111113D. Machander2.505150WOct 11 · 10:00D. Machander1.5011411113L. Velicka2.50911781WOct 4 · 09:00D. Machander2.381511109113J. Levicky1.53135121192WOct 4 · 08:30D. Oborny1.6711118582D. Machander2.10371111113LOct 4 · 07:30D. Machander2.20111081152J. Levicky1.61712114113LOct 4 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.7311119113D. Machander2.00561161LOct 1 · 09:30P. Osvald1.731111113D. Machander2.005780WOct 1 · 08:00D. Machander1.5781111113P. Chovanec2.25118631WOct 1 · 07:30P. Smetka2.6311118682D. Machander1.44841111113
L. Velicka10
LOct 11 · 12:30L. Velicka1.9111111061P. Osvald1.8081312113LOct 11 · 11:00L. Velicka2.005460M. Blejchar1.731111113LOct 11 · 10:00D. Machander1.5011411113L. Velicka2.50911781WOct 4 · 13:30P. Chovanec2.105101181L. Velicka1.6711126113LOct 4 · 12:00M. Blejchar1.831111113L. Velicka1.838530WOct 4 · 11:00P. Chovanec1.83119791L. Velicka1.8391111113WOct 4 · 10:30L. Velicka1.801111113R. Adam1.919890WSep 27 · 09:00L. Velicka1.9111611113M. Blejchar1.80511581WSep 27 · 08:30L. Velicka1.801111113J. Hrabec1.916840LSep 27 · 07:00L. Velicka1.91123991O. Hradil1.80101111113
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