TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalimil Machander vs Marek Blejchar 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119811112115
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Marek Blejchar at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 0–1 Marek Blejchar Dalimil Machander has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Blejchar
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Machander 1528 vs Blejchar 1603
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 60% vs Blejchar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 50% vs Blejchar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -1 · Blejchar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Blejchar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.833 / Blejchar 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blejchar)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13275609
Machander1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Blejchar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMachander0wins
AwayBlejchar1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBlejchar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMachanderBlejcharM − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.045.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 404 vs 320 / 64745.8%49.5%185 / 404 vs 320 / 647Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharMachander 1.83/Blejchar 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 29 · 07:30D. Machander4711811982M. Blejchar45511711113
D. Machander10
LOct 11 · 13:01D. Machander1.40141161192L. Velicka2.65166118113LOct 11 · 11:30P. Osvald1.501111113D. Machander2.505150WOct 11 · 10:00D. Machander1.5011411113L. Velicka2.50911781WOct 4 · 09:00D. Machander2.381511109113J. Levicky1.53135121192WOct 4 · 08:30D. Oborny1.6711118582D. Machander2.10371111113LOct 4 · 07:30D. Machander2.20111081152J. Levicky1.61712114113LOct 4 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.7311119113D. Machander2.00561161LOct 1 · 09:30P. Osvald1.731111113D. Machander2.005780WOct 1 · 08:00D. Machander1.5781111113P. Chovanec2.25118631WOct 1 · 07:30P. Smetka2.6311118682D. Machander1.44841111113
M. Blejchar10
WOct 11 · 11:00L. Velicka2.005460M. Blejchar1.731111113WOct 11 · 10:30M. Blejchar2.38911169113P. Osvald1.53114141172LOct 11 · 09:09J. Hrabec1.28911118113M. Blejchar3.5011921132WOct 11 · 08:30M. Blejchar1.73111396113P. Chovanec2.00911111152LOct 11 · 07:00M. Blejchar2.758111071J. Hrabec1.4011912113LOct 11 · 06:00P. Osvald1.671111133M. Blejchar2.1053110WOct 8 · 09:30P. Osvald1.60114221M. Blejchar2.2071111113LOct 8 · 08:30M. Blejchar2.10811561P. Osvald1.6711811113WOct 8 · 07:00M. Blejchar2.75231111113V. Cerny1.4011114912WOct 8 · 06:00P. Chovanec1.735890M. Blejchar2.001111113
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