TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Dominik Stefek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 23-Czech 12 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111210611––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Dominik Stefek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 10–10 Dominik Stefek Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sindler beat Stefek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.80 / Stefek 1.909
TT Cup · #13279575
Sindler1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 150 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it86% 50 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it68% 93 of 136
Stefek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 33 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler6wins
AwayStefek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler100%3 of 3
AwayStefek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler3Stefek7n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S2Sindler5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S3Sindler4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Sindler7Stefek1n = 8Sindler took 7 of 8
S5Sindler3Stefek2n = 5Sindler took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerStefekSindler − StefekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.941.4+0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 869 vs 67 / 13951.9%48.2%451 / 869 vs 67 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.80/Stefek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 11 · 11:10J. Sindler4211911113D. Stefek30911281
WOct 9 · 10:15J. Sindler43101111113D. Stefek35129681
LOct 5 · 09:40J. Sindler4891181282D. Stefek521191110113
WSep 13 · 09:15J. Sindler5711121211113D. Stefek53714101392
LSep 13 · 06:15J. Sindler2010550D. Stefek341211113
LSep 11 · 09:20J. Sindler229580D. Stefek331111113
LSep 11 · 06:45J. Sindler48101181182D. Stefek42124114113
WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler46811411123D. Stefek50119119102
WSep 5 · 13:40J. Sindler50611913113D. Stefek44116111152
WAug 27 · 09:09J. Sindler4312713113D. Stefek4110111191
J. Sindler10
LOct 11 · 11:40V. Reska1.6111134113J. Sindler2.209111191WOct 11 · 11:10D. Stefek1.83911281J. Sindler1.8311911113LOct 11 · 10:10J. Sindler1.734116111P. Chvojka2.0011611133LOct 11 · 08:39J. Sindler1.61114791P. Chvojka2.2091111113WOct 11 · 07:40J. Sindler1.7312114113P. Chvojka2.001071151LOct 11 · 06:40J. Sindler1.574750P. Jokiel2.251111113LOct 11 · 05:40J. Sindler1.57971131F. Mandrysz2.2511113113WOct 9 · 13:09O. Skvor1.673157121J. Sindler2.10111311143LOct 9 · 11:45O. Skvor1.61111144113J. Sindler2.2098111152WOct 9 · 11:15P. Sturma2.101181211102J. Sindler1.67911147123
D. Stefek10
LOct 11 · 12:10P. Chvojka1.571111113D. Stefek2.257570LOct 11 · 11:10D. Stefek1.83911281J. Sindler1.8311911113LOct 11 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113D. Stefek2.387650LOct 9 · 12:39D. Stefek1.5797120P. Sturma2.251111143WOct 9 · 12:15D. Stefek2.251111113P. Sturma1.574590LOct 9 · 10:45O. Skvor1.6711121114113D. Stefek2.10810131682LOct 9 · 10:15J. Sindler1.91101111113D. Stefek1.80129681WOct 9 · 09:15D. Stefek1.6781111123L. Snr2.101139101WOct 9 · 07:45D. Stefek1.67111512113P. Sturma2.1013131071LOct 9 · 06:45D. Stefek1.7311113662L. Snr2.00961111113
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