TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Burylov vs Josef Chalupa 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311119911115118
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Josef Chalupa below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8
89 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 18–17 Josef Chalupa Josef Chalupa has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Chalupa beat Burylov 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 2.25 / Chalupa 1.571
Setka Cup · #13279539
Burylov2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 55 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back35% 16 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Chalupa1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 28 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov5wins
AwayChalupa5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov66.7%4 of 6
AwayChalupa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov6Chalupa4n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S2Burylov5Chalupa5n = 10split evenly
S3Burylov3Chalupa7n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S4Burylov3Chalupa3n = 6split evenly
S5Burylov2Chalupa1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovChalupaB − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.137.5−0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 454 vs 188 / 34748.5%54.2%220 / 454 vs 188 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaBurylov 2.25/Chalupa 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 11 · 11:30V. Burylov491210511112J. Chalupa521012116133
WOct 6 · 20:19V. Burylov331111113J. Chalupa217950
WOct 6 · 18:15V. Burylov4111711123J. Chalupa367118101
LSep 22 · 18:45V. Burylov198380J. Chalupa331111113
WSep 6 · 15:45V. Burylov51812911113J. Chalupa50111011992
LJul 18 · 09:05V. Burylov27512100J. Chalupa371114123
LJul 18 · 06:45V. Burylov30115861J. Chalupa3851111113
WJul 11 · 10:45V. Burylov341211113J. Chalupa2210840
WFeb 17 · 09:31V. Burylov49111188113J. Chalupa3774111142
LFeb 17 · 08:30V. Burylov381711371J. Chalupa4919811113
V. Burylov10
LOct 11 · 11:30J. Chalupa1.801012116133V. Burylov1.911210511112LOct 11 · 11:00V. Burylov1.911199111D. Gasparovic1.8051111133LOct 11 · 10:00V. Burylov1.831061111122J. Krames Sr1.83121197143WOct 7 · 08:23V. Burylov1.912111113J. Rochowanski1.8019690LOct 7 · 07:45V. Burylov1.911112910112M. Kocvara1.808101112133LOct 7 · 06:15J. Rochowanski1.80131148143V. Burylov1.911191111122LOct 7 · 05:45L. Dobias1.831311113V. Burylov1.8311880WOct 6 · 20:19J. Chalupa1.807950V. Burylov1.911111113LOct 6 · 19:15V. Burylov1.83116111072M. Zelinka1.83411912113WOct 6 · 18:15V. Burylov2.0011711123J. Chalupa1.737118101
J. Chalupa10
WOct 11 · 11:30J. Chalupa1.801012116133V. Burylov1.911210511112WOct 11 · 10:30J. Chalupa1.831151111113J. Krames Sr1.8341113692LOct 11 · 09:30J. Chalupa2.204111171D. Gasparovic1.6111133113LOct 6 · 20:19J. Chalupa1.807950V. Burylov1.911111113LOct 6 · 19:45J. Chalupa1.837370D. Gasparovic1.831111113LOct 6 · 18:15V. Burylov2.0011711123J. Chalupa1.737118101LOct 6 · 17:45M. Zelinka1.9191111113J. Chalupa1.80117781LSep 27 · 16:20J. Chalupa1.67116791D. Gasparovic2.1091111113LSep 27 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.8386130L. Heinzl1.831111153WSep 27 · 14:15D. Gasparovic1.9154111172J. Chalupa1.8011116993
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