Andrii Zeniuk vs Anton Molochko 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Andrii Zeniuk

Home

3.75

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

118611114115––

Anton Molochko

Away

1.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:58 and never touched: 75.4% is still 75.4%

Graded at full time

Anton Molochko to win

75.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Anton Molochko below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 67 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Anton Molochko at 75.4%

67 points played in total.

H2H Andrii Zeniuk 9–12 Anton Molochko Andrii Zeniuk has won 9 of their 21 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Molochko

Zeniuk 3.75/Molochko 1.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

75.4%

Molochko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Zeniuk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:58

75.4%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25

short by 4.6pp

80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.25 (75%)

Molochko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

9-12 in 21

Molochko

Wrong

gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zeniuk 1731 vs Molochko 2023

Molochko

Wrong

both rated, 292 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zeniuk 0% vs Molochko 60%

Molochko

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zeniuk 30% vs Molochko 70%

Molochko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zeniuk -5 · Molochko +2

Zeniuk

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Molochko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Molochko: form 60%, the price implies 80%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZeniuk 3.75 / Molochko 1.25

Signal prob.25% / 75%

Edge (Molochko)-4.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZeniuk6wins

AwayMolochko4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZeniuk83.3%5 of 6

AwayMolochko75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zeniuk6Molochko4n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10

S2Zeniuk4Molochko6n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10

S3Zeniuk6Molochko4n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10

S4Zeniuk6Molochko3n = 9Zeniuk took 6 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricZeniukMolochkoZ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.336.0+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZeniukMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 465 vs 517 / 90053.1%57.4%247 / 465 vs 517 / 900Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match

Setka Cup · #13276980

Zeniuk3.75

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog33% won 47 of 141

Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 89

Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47

Molochko1.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite61% won 139 of 227

Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68

Up 1–0, closes it85% 102 of 120

Andrii Zeniuk vs Anton Molochko 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Andrii Zeniuk vs Anton Molochko 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.