TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko vs Ksenia Tymchenko 1-3 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111149111012––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:30 and never touched: 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeKsenia Tymchenko to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko above · Ksenia Tymchenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Ksenia Tymchenko at 62.4%
73 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko 28–35 Ksenia Tymchenko Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko has won 28 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:3062.4%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.8pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Tymchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
28-35 in 63
Tymchenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hordynska-Sheiko 1316 vs Tymchenko 1401
Tymchenko
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hordynska-Sheiko 20% vs Tymchenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hordynska-Sheiko 20% vs Tymchenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hordynska-Sheiko -4 · Tymchenko +1
Hordynska-Sheiko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Tymchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHordynska-Sheiko 2.375 / Tymchenko 1.533
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Tymchenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13276902
Hordynska-Sheiko2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 37 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Tymchenko1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHordynska-Sheiko4wins
AwayTymchenko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTymchenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHordynska-Sheikon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTymchenko66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hordynska-Sheiko1Tymchenko9n = 10Tymchenko took 9 of 10
S2Hordynska-Sheiko4Tymchenko6n = 10Tymchenko took 6 of 10
S3Hordynska-Sheiko5Tymchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hordynska-Sheiko5Tymchenko2n = 7Hordynska-Sheiko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHordynska-SheikoTymchenkoH − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match34.037.1−3.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHordynska-SheikoTymchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 441 vs 136 / 39332%34.6%141 / 441 vs 136 / 393Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TymchenkoHordynska-Sheiko 2.38/Tymchenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Tymchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tymchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 10 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko206590K. Tymchenko331111113
WOct 3 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4313811113K. Tymchenko361111951
WSep 27 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4071111113K. Tymchenko29117561
WAug 15 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko49811811113K. Tymchenko4611811882
LAug 8 · 16:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4238111192K. Tymchenko47111168113
LJul 19 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko24111030K. Tymchenko361312113
WJul 11 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3741111113K. Tymchenko30119551
LJul 4 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2710980K. Tymchenko341211113
LJun 7 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko27481141K. Tymchenko4211119113
LMay 24 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko31711851K. Tymchenko3811511113
A. Hordynska-Sheiko10
LOct 10 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.611111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.206590LOct 10 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0077110V. Shevchuk1.081111133LOct 10 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.4098141172A. Gorchakova1.301111129113LOct 10 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.007990M. Gordeets1.221111113WOct 10 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25881114113A. Volgina1.33111171292WOct 3 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.571111951A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.2513811113LOct 3 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.63911771O. Ivchenko1.4411611113LOct 3 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00118931M. Gordeets1.2251111113LOct 3 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.50121011842A. Gorchakova1.28101281173LOct 3 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.507660V. Shevchuk1.101111113
K. Tymchenko10
WOct 10 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.611111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.206590LOct 10 · 17:05K. Tymchenko2.505850M. Gordeets1.50111193LOct 10 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.759850V. Shevchuk1.401111103LOct 10 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751121051A. Volgina1.4071112113LOct 10 · 12:35K. Tymchenko3.509840A. Gorchakova1.281111113WOct 4 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.75139118113A. Lapa1.40111121132LOct 4 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251091151O. Ivchenko1.3312115113LOct 4 · 15:35K. Tymchenko3.7565130A. Gorchakova1.251111153LOct 4 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.508119151M. Gordeets1.5011711173LOct 3 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.571111951A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.2513811113
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