TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kundeus vs Viktor Sydorchuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Oleksandr Kundeus
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191161012118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:02 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kundeus above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kundeus 0–1 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleksandr Kundeus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:0254.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sydorchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kundeus 572 vs Sydorchuk 644
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kundeus 60% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Kundeus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kundeus 30% vs Sydorchuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kundeus +1 · Sydorchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKundeus 1.833 / Sydorchuk 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sydorchuk)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13276407
Kundeus1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sydorchuk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKundeus0wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKundeusSydorchukK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Sweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKundeusSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 157 / 36730%42.8%3 / 10 vs 157 / 367Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukKundeus 1.83/Sydorchuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kundeus won
Recent Results
O. Kundeus10
WOct 11 · 09:05A. Lanchut1.916350O. Kundeus1.801111113WOct 11 · 07:05O. Bolnyh1.61911961O. Kundeus2.2011711113LOct 11 · 05:35O. Kundeus3.40871181M. Senyk1.3011119113LOct 10 · 18:55M. Senyk1.331113113O. Kundeus3.2521160WOct 10 · 17:25O. Kundeus2.38116116113O. Bolnyh1.5361161162WOct 10 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk1.4411116942O. Kundeus2.63661111113LOct 10 · 13:25A. Lanchut2.25111111113O. Kundeus1.57613541LOct 10 · 12:25M. Kornijchuk1.6111128123O. Kundeus2.2071011101LOct 3 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.361011911113O. Kundeus3.0012211542LOct 3 · 09:55O. Kundeus3.2510111431V. Slobodian1.33121312113
V. Sydorchuk10
WOct 11 · 10:05V. Sydorchuk1.571112113M. Kornijchuk2.2571060WOct 11 · 06:05A. Lanchut6.507950V. Sydorchuk1.101111113LOct 11 · 05:05O. Bolnyh1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.206670LOct 10 · 18:25V. Sydorchuk2.201310631O. Bolnyh1.61111211113WOct 10 · 16:25A. Lanchut6.009560V. Sydorchuk1.111111113LOct 10 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk1.4411116942O. Kundeus2.63661111113WOct 10 · 14:25M. Kornijchuk2.256712101V. Sydorchuk1.57111110123LOct 10 · 12:55V. Sydorchuk2.2566120M. Senyk1.571111122LOct 3 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk3.2591111113V. Sydorchuk1.33118741WOct 3 · 09:25V. Sydorchuk2.1011711113O. Bolnyh1.67811851
Upcoming Matches
O. Kundeus
Nothing scheduled
V. Sydorchuk
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