TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sydorchuk vs Oleksandr Bolnyh 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118711118115––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Oleksandr Bolnyh @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-4
Point 69 set 4, 9-4 · our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 58.6%
69 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 19–18 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:1658.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bolnyh
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-18 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 672 vs Bolnyh 763
Bolnyh
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Bolnyh 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Bolnyh 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -2 · Bolnyh +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Bolnyh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.10 / Bolnyh 1.666
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bolnyh)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234299
Sydorchuk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Bolnyh1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 46 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayBolnyh6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBolnyh leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk60%3 of 5
AwayBolnyh80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk5Bolnyh5n = 10split evenly
S2Sydorchuk7Bolnyh3n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S3Sydorchuk8Bolnyh2n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S4Sydorchuk0Bolnyh7n = 7Bolnyh took 7 of 7
S5Sydorchuk1Bolnyh3n = 4Bolnyh took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukBolnyhS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.6+2.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 359 vs 93 / 21042.6%44.3%153 / 359 vs 93 / 210Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhSydorchuk 2.10/Bolnyh 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.6%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Bolnyh @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk38814971O. Bolnyh45111211113
LSep 18 · 13:55V. Sydorchuk461011111042O. Bolnyh47128412113
LSep 5 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk388911101O. Bolnyh3711113123
LAug 30 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk4311911662O. Bolnyh47511911113
WAug 27 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk5511111111113O. Bolnyh5013781392
WAug 26 · 14:55V. Sydorchuk341211113O. Bolnyh2610880
WAug 13 · 05:55V. Sydorchuk331111113O. Bolnyh195680
LAug 12 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk395119141O. Bolnyh4311511163
WAug 7 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk331111113O. Bolnyh235990
LAug 6 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk4812911792O. Bolnyh491011611113
V. Sydorchuk10
LOct 3 · 08:25V. Sydorchuk5.008650V. Slobodian1.141111113LOct 3 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk2.20611461M. Senyk1.6111911113WSep 27 · 18:55A. Lanchut6.00117781V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 27 · 17:25V. Sydorchuk2.6311950V. Slobodian1.441311113WSep 27 · 15:25O. Kulbach5.50118571V. Sydorchuk1.1371111113WSep 27 · 13:25V. Moroz4.506101131V. Sydorchuk1.1711128113LSep 27 · 12:25M. Senyk1.61119911113V. Sydorchuk2.2091111972LSep 22 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk2.006840B. Pyrtyk1.731111113WSep 22 · 09:25R. Skoropad1.6191151372V. Sydorchuk2.201181111113LSep 22 · 07:25M. Senyk1.61116137113V. Sydorchuk2.20911111182
O. Bolnyh10
WOct 3 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk7.00611651O. Bolnyh1.0811411113LOct 3 · 06:25O. Bolnyh2.636980V. Slobodian1.441111113LOct 3 · 05:25M. Senyk2.6311114113O. Bolnyh1.44991181LOct 2 · 11:25I. Fokin1.2011158113O. Bolnyh4.339131141WOct 2 · 09:55O. Bolnyh5.00911119113Y. Shcherbak1.1411891172LOct 2 · 07:55P. Melnichuk1.8311811113O. Bolnyh1.83711531WOct 2 · 05:55O. Martynenko1.616380O. Bolnyh2.201111113LOct 2 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk1.3611117123O. Bolnyh3.009911101LOct 1 · 18:55Y. Shcherbak1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507960LOct 1 · 17:25O. Bolnyh1.6711881162P. Melnichuk2.10511119113
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