TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sydorchuk vs Mykhailo Senyk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119411611––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 59.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 21–46 Mykhailo Senyk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 21 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5359.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 2.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-46 in 67
Senyk
Correct
gap of 25 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 672 vs Senyk 718
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Senyk 40%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Senyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Senyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Senyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.20 / Senyk 1.615
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Senyk)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234498
Sydorchuk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Senyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 77 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 56 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwaySenyk8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk50%2 of 4
AwaySenyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk4Senyk6n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S2Sydorchuk6Senyk4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Sydorchuk2Senyk7n = 9Senyk took 7 of 9
S4Sydorchuk3Senyk5n = 8Senyk took 5 of 8
S5Sydorchuk2Senyk5n = 7Senyk took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukSenykSydorchuk − SenykBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.045.0−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 358 vs 156 / 36642.7%42.6%153 / 358 vs 156 / 366Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSydorchuk 2.20/Senyk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 3 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk27611461M. Senyk4211911113
LSep 27 · 12:25V. Sydorchuk4791111972M. Senyk51119911113
LSep 22 · 07:25V. Sydorchuk50911111182M. Senyk48116137113
LSep 19 · 05:25V. Sydorchuk4111114872M. Senyk48781111113
WSep 18 · 11:55V. Sydorchuk49136118113M. Senyk45111141182
WSep 13 · 05:25V. Sydorchuk44116511113M. Senyk3581111232
LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk53817711102M. Senyk521115113123
LSep 1 · 10:05V. Sydorchuk207760M. Senyk331111113
LAug 18 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk3811136352M. Senyk517111111113
V. Sydorchuk10
LOct 3 · 08:25V. Sydorchuk5.008650V. Slobodian1.141111113WSep 27 · 18:55A. Lanchut6.00117781V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 27 · 17:25V. Sydorchuk2.6311950V. Slobodian1.441311113WSep 27 · 15:25O. Kulbach5.50118571V. Sydorchuk1.1371111113WSep 27 · 13:25V. Moroz4.506101131V. Sydorchuk1.1711128113LSep 27 · 12:25M. Senyk1.61119911113V. Sydorchuk2.2091111972LSep 22 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk2.006840B. Pyrtyk1.731111113WSep 22 · 09:25R. Skoropad1.6191151372V. Sydorchuk2.201181111113LSep 22 · 07:25M. Senyk1.61116137113V. Sydorchuk2.20911111182LSep 22 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk4.00911761Y. Shcherbak1.2211811113
M. Senyk10
WOct 3 · 07:53M. Senyk1.531311113O. Kundeus2.3811980WOct 3 · 05:25M. Senyk2.6311114113O. Bolnyh1.44991181LOct 1 · 18:25M. Senyk4.50611491P. Melnichuk1.1711711113LOct 1 · 16:25O. Martynenko1.1711611113M. Senyk4.50911861LOct 1 · 15:25M. Senyk2.7591511872O. Bolnyh1.401113911113WOct 1 · 14:25I. Fokin1.2071116592M. Senyk4.331181411113LOct 1 · 12:55M. Senyk6.5081080Y. Shcherbak1.101112113WSep 27 · 17:55V. Moroz3.7511611652M. Senyk1.25911611113WSep 27 · 12:25M. Senyk1.61119911113V. Sydorchuk2.2091111972WSep 22 · 07:25M. Senyk1.61116137113V. Sydorchuk2.20911111182
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